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Thales Shares Jump 2.7% at Midday After Confirming Targets

Thales shows the best performance in the CAC 40 this Friday, January 16, at midday, with a 2.7% increase from the previous day. The defense giant's stock reacts positively to the confirmation of its annual 2025 targets, announced this morning during the pre-closing conference for the fourth quarter.


Thales Shares Jump 2.7% at Midday After Confirming Targets

Strong Performance Following Annual Targets Confirmation

Thales records the highest increase in the CAC 40 after maintaining its 2025 annual targets, confirmed this morning at the end of its pre-closing teleconference for the fourth quarter. The stock is trading at 262 euros mid-session, up 2.7% from its previous close at 255.10 euros. This performance is part of an upward trend over the year, with the stock having jumped 80.25% over this period. The group still anticipates organic sales growth of 6 to 7%, a margin between 12.2 and 12.4%, a book-to-bill ratio greater than 1, and a cash conversion rate of 95 to 100%. Technically, the RSI reaches 70, indicating an overbought zone that could lead to a short-term consolidation. However, Thales is confident in achieving its margin target for the defense activity, which should be above 13%, indicating very high profitability. The stock is significantly above its 50-day moving average, located at 236.85 euros, confirming the strength of the current upward trend.

Defense Segment Outlook Remains Steady

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Regarding the defense segment outlook, growth remains unchanged, with no acceleration expected beyond the 7-9% after slowing down in the fourth quarter due to a high comparison base last year. The space activity is expected to show slight growth in 2025, while the Cyber segment will not return to positive growth until 2026. These signals have been well received by the market, as evidenced by the flow of buyers since the opening. Analysts maintain divergent views on the stock. Deutsche Bank recently downgraded its recommendation from 'buy' to 'hold' on January 13, with a target reduced from 285 to 280 euros, representing a potential upside of 6.9% from the current price. Conversely, UBS has a much more ambitious target of 380 euros with a buy recommendation, while Bernstein targets 275 euros after upgrading its stance to 'outperform' at the beginning of January. The stock is now testing its resistance at 270.20 euros, a breakthrough of which would pave the way for new highs.



Sector Défense · Aéronautique · Industrie · Technologie Défense


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 2025
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 22 136 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 7,6 %
  • Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
  • Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
  • Net debt: -1 618 millions d'euros
  • Dividend per share: 3,90 €
  • Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
  • 2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
  • Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
  • Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
  • Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
  • Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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