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Last updated : 15/09/2026 - 15h23
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Thales stock rebounds nearly 2% and defies a declining CAC 40

In a CAC 40 down this Monday, Thales stands out as an exception and distinguishes itself with a notable rebound during the session. The defense electronics group is recovering from the support zone tested in early September, amid a market context agitated by a busy week of central bank decisions.


Thales stock rebounds nearly 2% and defies a declining CAC 40

A rebound of nearly 2% that resists a CAC 40 in negative territory

Thales gains 1.9% to €231.10 during the session, while the CAC 40 falls 0.93% and the SBF 120 declines 0.91%. The stock thus ranks among the strongest gains of the CAC 40, against the grain of a session marked by a volatility spike: the VIX jumps 14.65% to 18.16, a sign of increased nervousness on markets. Today's momentum contrasts with the past month: the stock still loses nearly 14% over thirty days and remains under pressure in the medium term.

Over the week, the decline remains limited to 1.07%, suggesting some stabilization after the threat to the €225 support that materialized in early September. Today's rebound occurs from a level close to this threshold at €225.10, which the stock ultimately did not sustainably break through.

An RSI in extreme oversold territory at 23: the technical configuration remains under high tension

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Despite the rebound, Thales trades below its three moving averages: the 20-day MA is at €245.38, representing a 5.82% gap above the current price, the 50-day MA at €243.50 (gap of 5.09%) and the 200-day MA at €242.64 (gap of 4.76%). This triple bearish alignment reflects degraded momentum across all timeframes. The immediate resistance to watch is at €271.90, far from the current price, while the financing of the Exail acquisition, funded by a one-billion-euro bond issuance in August, remains the underlying structural issue. The MACD, still in negative territory with a histogram at -2.93, confirms that selling pressure remains present: the rebound will need to continue for the stock to return within reach of its moving averages.



Sector Aéronautique et Défense Défense


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Context

Period
  • Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 10 949 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 10 949 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 6,7 %
  • EBITDA: 1 150 millions d'euros
  • Net income: 485 millions d'euros
  • Free cash flow: 1 865 millions d'euros
  • 519,2 millions d'euros
Risks mentioned
  • Résiliation du programme F126 par l'Allemagne : charge exceptionnelle de 450 M€, impact de 331 M€ sur le résultat net
  • Annulation d'une commande de deux satellites géostationnaires, impact d'environ -150 M€ sur les ventes Spatial
  • Marge Cyber & Digital en baisse à 10,9 % contre 14,4 %, notamment dans les Paiements et l'Identité/Biométrie
Opportunities identified
  • 18 grandes commandes de plus de 100 M€ pour 4 850 M€, dont 11 au deuxième trimestre
  • Carnet de commandes Défense de 41,1 milliards d'euros, soit environ 3,2 années de chiffre d'affaires
  • Très forte progression au Proche et Moyen-Orient (+202 % en organique en prises de commandes)
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: 23 600 millions d'euros
  • Management commentary: Organic sales growth expected between +6% and +7%, corresponding to sales of €23.3 to €23.6 billion; Adjusted EBIT margin expected between 12.6% and 12.8%

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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