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THALES Stock: Significant Decline Over the Week Amidst Market Consolidation

THALES stock experienced a turbulent week, marking a significant decrease over the period. With a decline of more than 5%, the stock stood out with a pronounced correction while the Paris market also moved into the red. This movement comes after a year of strong growth, marked by increased volatility.


THALES Stock: Significant Decline Over the Week Amidst Market Consolidation

Weekly Performance Analysis

THALES stock closed the week at €246.90, showing a weekly decline of 5.29%. This correction occurs in a context where the annual performance remains high, with a progression of 63.46% over twelve months. After moving in an upward trend since the beginning of the year, the stock has thus experienced a more pronounced decline than the overall market, as the CAC 40 and SBF 120 respectively lost 1.27% and 1.3% over the same period. Trading on the order book reveals dense activity, particularly around the €245 and €248 levels, indicating a high capital turnover typical of correction phases. This decline follows trends observed over several sessions, including one mid-week session where THALES was among the biggest losers on the CAC 40, according to data released on Wednesday, October 29. In the longer term, the dynamics remain largely positive, with the stock price reaching its yearly high at €279.30 and its low at €134.20. This trajectory underscores the stock's ability to maintain a sustained pace despite the increased volatility observed since the beginning of the month.

Continued Consolidation Movement

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The latest analyses shared over the week highlight the continuation of the consolidation movement on the stock. On Monday, a note from Oddo BHF raised the target on THALES, which underscores the market's confidence in the medium-term potential. However, according to several analysts, the consolidation phase that began in October might continue, as indicated in sector communications. The latest statement regarding sustained quarterly sales growth and the maintenance of targets for 2025, dated October 23, did not reverse the week's trend. Trading remains marked in the absence of new corporate facts, with recent context limited to the publication of these analyses and the technical evolution of the market.

Technical Perspective

From a technical standpoint, THALES stock is now just above a support threshold at €245.40, while resistance is at €273.00. The 50-day moving average is positioned at €248.22, close to the current level, reinforcing the idea of a support test in a volatile environment. In the longer term, the 200-day moving average (€236.84) remains well below the current price, reflecting the bullish orientation over the year. The relative strength index, at 43, indicates a weakness in momentum after the weekly decline. Indicators such as the MACD line, which is negative at -3.05, confirm an unfavorable short-term dynamic. The Bollinger Bands frame the stock between €243.25 and €266.35, reflecting the increase in volatility observed over the last month (8.70). This volatile movement places the stock in a consolidation phase where selling pressure dominates, following the broader market correction over the week.



Sector Défense · Aéronautique · Industrie · Technologie Défense


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 2025
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 22 136 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 7,6 %
  • Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
  • Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
  • Net debt: -1 618 millions d'euros
  • Dividend per share: 3,90 €
  • Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
  • 2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
  • Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
  • Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
  • Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
  • Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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