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THALES Stock: Significant Decline Over the Week, Contrasting with the Market's Upward Trend

Thales stock has seen a sharp correction this week, closing below its weekly opening level. This movement contrasts with the gains shown by the main Parisian indices, as the European defense sector was shaken by international geopolitical news.


THALES Stock: Significant Decline Over the Week, Contrasting with the Market's Upward Trend

Weekly Performance Overview

Over the past week, Thales stock closed on Friday at €245.40, marking a decrease of 6.62%. This decline occurred in a context where the CAC 40 increased by 1.65% and the SBF 120 by 1.35%, illustrating a significant divergence between the trajectory of the stock and the overall French market. On an annual basis, the stock's performance remains significant: Thales has advanced 61.29% over the past twelve months, far exceeding many major listed players. During this period, the stock fluctuated between €243.50 and €258.50, both reached during the week, indicating increased volatility in daily trading, especially during the sessions of October 15 and 17, marked by fluctuations of more than 3%, often exceeding the daily volatility observed within the CAC 40. The volume of transactions remained close to the monthly average, signaling sustained trading flow without excessive panic, despite the magnitude of the downward movement.

Factors Influencing This Week's Performance

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The unfavorable evolution of the stock this week comes against a backdrop of renewed nervousness in the European defense sector. Internationally, operators reacted to the resumption of dialogue between the United States and Russia, which fueled a pendulum swing in defense and cybersecurity-related stocks. Concurrently, the downgrade of the recommendation issued by Baptista Research on October 17, which shifted to a more cautious stance, may have sustained the selling pressure. This context contrasted with the resilience observed in other sectors that make up the CAC 40 and SBF 120, driven by more favorable expectations on European economic prospects. Additionally, the cybersecurity sector, to which Thales belongs, has recently faced turbulence, adding to the ambient volatility.

Technical Analysis

From a technical standpoint, Thales stock is now trading just above its 50-day moving average (€244.16), while the 200-day moving average stands at €231.65, indicating a still positive long-term trend. The RSI indicator is at 36, reflecting a weakening of the short-term bullish momentum. The MACD line is set at 2.27, with no clear reversal signal, while the one-month volatility is at 8.65%, a level higher than that observed across the SBF 120 over the same period. The technical support threshold is around €224.60, while major resistance remains at €273. The Bollinger Bands frame the stock between €244.99 and €273.03, reflecting the greater dispersion of prices observed since the beginning of the month. These elements outline an adjustment phase, with the value still anchored at high levels compared to its annual average.



Sector Défense · Aéronautique · Industrie · Technologie Défense


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 2025
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 22 136 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 7,6 %
  • Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
  • Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
  • Net debt: -1 618 millions d'euros
  • Dividend per share: 3,90 €
  • Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
  • 2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
  • Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
  • Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
  • Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
  • Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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