Valneva shares have significantly retreated this Thursday, dropping 3.34% to 4.624 euros during the session, in a Parisian market that is also trending downward. This decline comes just under a week before the announcement of the 2025 annual results, scheduled for March 18. Despite this setback, the stock has still gained nearly 21% over three months and more than 42% over a year.
By losing more than 3% this Thursday, Valneva has fallen below its 20-day moving average, which is at 4.66 euros, a level that had acted as a support zone in recent sessions. However, the price remains above the 50-day moving average (4.32 euros), indicating a medium-term upward trend. The RSI, positioned at 54, suggests a neutral zone, far from overbought or oversold thresholds, indicating no strong directional tension at this stage. Regarding the Bollinger Bands, the stock is now in the lower half of the channel, between 4.26 euros (lower boundary) and 5.05 euros (upper boundary). The identified resistance threshold at 5.08 euros has not been tested in recent days, while the most relevant technical support is around 3.89 euros, significantly below the current price. This technical framework suggests the stock is in a consolidation phase after its strong quarterly performance.
Valneva's Financial Calendar: A Key Short-Term Element
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Valneva's financial calendar is a key short-term element: the Franco-Austrian biotechnology group is set to publish its 2025 annual results on Wednesday, March 18, less than a week away. This upcoming event could partly explain the current movements in the stock, as profit-taking is common ahead of significant announcements, especially after a more than 20% increase over three months. The rest of the calendar includes the announcement of the first quarter 2026 results on May 7, followed by the annual general meeting scheduled for June 1. The 2026 half-year results are expected on August 13. It should be noted that the stock's negative beta (-0.19) reflects a very weak inverse correlation with the market, making it a stock with relatively decoupled behavior from the CAC 40, which is currently down 0.39% at 8,010 points during the session. The SBF 120, meanwhile, is down 0.34% at 6,064 points.
SectorPharmacie et biotechnologies›Vaccins et laboratoires de recherche
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Context
Period
Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 65,8 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 65,8 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: -32,6 %
EBITDA: -39,8 millions d'euros
Net income: -63,3 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
Malgré l'impact négatif persistant du contexte géopolitique sur les voyages, Valneva a confirmé ses perspectives pour 2026
Risks mentioned
Impact négatif persistant du contexte géopolitique sur les voyages affectant les ventes de produits
Dépendance commerciale élevée envers les livraisons d'IXIARO au Département américain de la Défense avec calendrier incertain
Recentrage stratégique d'IXCHIQ sur les marchés endémiques affectant les perspectives commerciales du vaccin contre le chikungunya
Opportunities identified
Décisions réglementaires attendues pour le candidat vaccin LB6V contre la maladie de Lyme dans les 12 prochains mois
Amélioration attendue des marges brutes au second semestre après impact d'éléments non récurrents au S1 2026
Bénéfices futurs de l'initiative de restructuration visant à réduire la consommation de trésorerie et optimiser les opérations
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 147,5 millions d'euros
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.