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Abivax Shares Continue to Decline as Bearish Bets Intensify

The French biotech company experiences another session in the red, extending a downward trend that has been in place for several weeks. The stock is moving against the slightly positive SBF 120, in a context where bearish bets on the capital continue to rise. The technical setup remains degraded across all horizons.


Abivax Shares Continue to Decline as Bearish Bets Intensify

The stock plunges below its moving averages, losing a quarter of its value in one month

Abivax drops 1.83% to €79.22 during the session, extending a decline of more than 25% over one month and nearly 19% over three months. Nonetheless, the stock still sits on an exceptional one-year performance, with a legacy of an extraordinary annual performance of 1,315% over twelve months, stemming from its 2025 stock market journey. Today's session continues the previous day's downturn (nearly 6% lost), already commented on, and erases the rebound outlined at the beginning of the week. The technical configuration weighs heavily: the price is 9.7% below the MM20 (€87.72), nearly 18% below the MM50 (€96.56), and 17.2% below the MM200 (€95.66). The three moving averages are aligned above the price, signaling a bearish trend established at all scales. The RSI at 39 remains in the low-neutral zone, without a real oversold signal, while the support identified at €63.10 still leaves some margin before being threatened.

Selling pressure intensifies with a cumulative short position more than doubling in a month

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According to reviewed statements, six funds together hold 6.77% of the capital sold short, compared to 2.94% thirty days ago, marking a progression of 3.83 points in one month. The pace of accumulation of bearish bets reflects a quickly rising mistrust among institutional investors positioned against the stock, without necessarily prejudging their horizon or motivation. This sequence follows the phase 3 results of obefazimod published in early June, where the two doses tested in ulcerative colitis had met their primary efficacy criterion, before the market focused on certain safety signals from the trial. The biotech, listed both on Euronext Paris and on the Nasdaq via real-time synchronized ADS, remains highly exposed to international flows. The next technical test is at the support level of €63.10, still about 20% away from the current price.



Sector Santé · Biotechnologies · Vaccins et laboratoires de recherche Biotechnologie


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Context

Period
  • Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Trésorerie et équivalents de trésorerie de 589,7 millions d'euros au 30/09/2025 ; perte nette de 254,1 millions d'euros sur les neuf mois ; produit net d'ADS d'environ 700,3 millions de dollars (?597,2 M€) en juillet 2025 ; position financière nette de 543,3 millions d'euros ; autonomie financière attendue jusqu'au T4 2027. Hausse significative des dépenses R&D et des charges G&A.
Risks mentioned
  • Risques inhérents à la recherche et au développement clinique
  • Risque lié aux décisions des autorités réglementaires (FDA, EMA)
  • Risque de disponibilité insuffisante de fonds pour couvrir les dépenses d'exploitation futures
  • Obstacles potentiels au développement clinique et pharmaceutique (données précliniques, CMC, toxicologie, etc.)
Opportunities identified
  • Avancement des essais de phase 3 d'Obefazimod en rectocolite hémorragique
  • Présentations 'late-breaking' et résultats favorables communiqués lors de congrès scientifiques
  • Produit net élevé de l'offre d'ADS prolongeant l'autonomie financière jusqu'au T4 2027

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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