ADP Stock Rises 2% and Challenges its 200-Day Moving Average
The Parisian airport operator rebounds sharply in early afternoon trading in a slightly bullish Paris market. The stock is among the top performers in the SBF 120 as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East ease and Brent crude continues to retreat.
The Stock Crosses Its Short-Term Averages and Stumbles at the 200-Day MA at €113.36
ADP gains 2.09% at €112.50, marking one of the strongest increases in the SBF 120, following Air France-KLM which soared by 6.67%. The stock has moved above its 20-day moving average (€109.02) and its 50-day moving average (€108.44), with a gap of 3.19% and 3.74% respectively. The immediate resistance remains the 200-day moving average, at €113.36, which is 0.76% above the current price, a level that had already halted a previous breakout attempt a few days ago. The RSI at 52 remains neutral, without particular buying pressure, while the MACD has moved into positive territory (histogram at 0.44). The session is taking place in a favorable sector environment for air transport, with Brent around $78.7 a barrel after the American denial of Tehran's claimed closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
Ambitious 2026 Guidance and Stable CDG Traffic in April
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During the announcement of the annual results for 2025 (on March 13, 2026), the group provided guidance for 2026 targeting a current EBITDA of more than €2,350 million, a net debt to EBITDA ratio of less than or equal to 3.7 times, and investments around €1,450 million of which about €1,000 million for ADP SA. The distribution policy remains set at 60% of the net income attributable to the group, with a minimum of €3.00 per share. Traffic growth is expected between 1.5% and 2.5%, with revenue per Extime Paris passenger exceeding €32. The latest ACI Europe data (published on June 4) shows stable passenger traffic at Paris-CDG in April, while the Skopje concession increased by 31.1% year-on-year. The operator also raised €600 million in a nine-year bond on June 10 with a coupon of 3.875%, to refinance part of its debt. Over one year, the stock has gained 10.56%, and the €113.36 area remains the next technical threshold to watch.
SectorInfrastructures · Transports›Services de Transport
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Context
Period
Period: 2025
Key reported figures
Revenue: 6 704 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 8,9 %
EBITDA: 2 322 millions d'euros
EBITDA margin: 34,6 %
Net income: 382 millions d'euros
8 625 millions d'euros
Dividend per share: 3,00 €
Payout ratio: 60,0 %
Guidance from the release
L’année 2025 a été marquée par l’impulsion d’une nouvelle dynamique au sein du Groupe ADP et l’amorce d’une transformation structurelle de notre modèle.
Résultats annuels 2025 : chiffre d’affaires de 6 704 millions d’euros, EBITDA courant de 2 322 millions d’euros, RNPG de 382 millions d’euros; dette nette de 8 625 millions d’euros et dividende proposé de 3,00 euros par action. Le groupe atteint ses objectifs 2025 et prévoit une distribution de dividendes conforme à 60% du RNPG.
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: supérieur à 2 350 millions d'euros
Management commentary: Pour 2026, l’EBITDA courant est attendu au-delà de 2 350 millions d’euros; le ratio Dette Nette / EBITDA courant visé est inférieur ou égal à 3,7x; capex autour de 1 450 millions d’euros, dont environ 1 000 millions pour ADP SA; politique de distribution de dividendes à 60% du résultat net part du groupe avec un plancher de 3,00 euros par action; trafic attendu en croissance autour de 1,5% à 2,5% et CA par Pax Extime Paris supérieur à 32 euros.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.