Carrefour Shares End Higher Despite Downward Revised Targets
Carrefour shares gained 0.72% this Wednesday, January 28, 2026, closing at 13.92 euros. This increase occurred amid target price revisions by two investment banks, which lowered their forecasts while keeping their recommendations unchanged. Nevertheless, the French retailer has shown positive medium-term performance, with a gain of 7.66% over three months.
Early this week, two investment houses adjusted their targets on the distribution group. On January 23, Goldman Sachs lowered its target from 16 euros to 15 euros, while maintaining a neutral recommendation on the stock. The day before, Barclays also made a moderate adjustment, reducing its target from 15.75 euros to 15.40 euros, but reaffirmed its overweight rating. These new targets suggest a potential upside of between 7.6% and 10.6% from the current price. Analysts thus acknowledge the possibility of stock progression, although their expectations have been slightly revised downward due to challenges in the retail sector.
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From a technical standpoint, the French retailer is slightly below its 20-day moving average, which stands at 14.03 euros, indicating short-term investor caution. The 14-day Relative Strength Index is at 34, placing the indicator in a low zone and suggesting that the stock is not in an overbought condition. This technical setup occurs as the one-month volatility is recorded at 4.60, reflecting moderate fluctuations. Nonetheless, the stock has maintained a favorable momentum over several weeks, with a 1.61% increase over seven days. Investors are now looking forward to the 2025 annual results, scheduled for release on February 17, to gain a clearer understanding of the group's operational trajectory in a competitive environment.
Objectifs 2026 confirmes : croissance du ROC, marge operationnelle en hausse de plus de 25 pbs vs 2025, cash-flow libre net en croissance vs 2025 (1 565 M€), resultat net ajuste par action en croissance dans le haut de la fourchette a un chiffre. Plan d'economies de 1 Md€ confirme (490 M€ realises au S1).
Risks mentioned
Résultat non courant dégradé à -165 M€ contre -39 M€ au S1 2025
ROC des Autres pays à -34 M€, fortement pénalisé par l'Argentine
Marge commerciale en baisse de -28 pbs à 19,1 % du CA lié aux investissements prix
Opportunities identified
490 M€ d'économies de coûts réalisées au S1, en ligne avec l'objectif de 1 Md€ pour 2026
Objectif confirmé de 130 M€ de synergies Cora & Match à horizon 2027
Cession de Carrefour Roumanie finalisée pour environ 500 M€ et recentrage sur 3 pays cœur
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.