Carrefour Stock: Decline Ahead of the 2025 Annual Results Release
Carrefour's stock fell by 1.47% this Monday, to 15.45 euros, after several consecutive sessions of gains. This movement comes on the eve of the distribution group's 2025 annual results release, scheduled for Tuesday, February 17. The stock still shows a progression of more than 16% over three months.
Carrefour stock lost ground this Monday, falling below the resistance threshold of 15.66 euros after approaching it in recent sessions. However, the price remains significantly above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, positioned at 14.16 euros and 13.20 euros respectively, indicating a well-established upward momentum over several weeks. The RSI, an indicator that measures the speed and magnitude of price changes, reaches 92, a level rarely observed and well above the overbought threshold set at 70. This technical signal indicates that the stock has experienced a rapid rise and could undergo a short-term consolidation phase. Today's correction is part of this logic, without questioning the underlying trend, with the stock still up more than 13% over a year.
Implications of the Upcoming Financial Results
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The decline observed this Monday coincides with the imminence of a major deadline for the group. Carrefour is indeed set to unveil its 2025 annual results tomorrow, Tuesday, February 17. This release will be a significant test for the recent trajectory of the stock, which has gained more than 4% over the last seven days. The expected figures will allow for an assessment of the distributor's operational trajectory in a consumer environment still marked by price adjustments and household trade-offs. The performance of the group in France, its primary market, as well as the contributions from its activities in Latin America and Southern Europe will be closely monitored. The evolution of the operating margin and cash flow generation will be among the key elements, as well as any announcements related to the shareholder return policy. The level of 15.66 euros, corresponding to the current technical resistance, could be tested again depending on the content of these results.
Objectifs 2026 confirmes : croissance du ROC, marge operationnelle en hausse de plus de 25 pbs vs 2025, cash-flow libre net en croissance vs 2025 (1 565 M€), resultat net ajuste par action en croissance dans le haut de la fourchette a un chiffre. Plan d'economies de 1 Md€ confirme (490 M€ realises au S1).
Risks mentioned
Résultat non courant dégradé à -165 M€ contre -39 M€ au S1 2025
ROC des Autres pays à -34 M€, fortement pénalisé par l'Argentine
Marge commerciale en baisse de -28 pbs à 19,1 % du CA lié aux investissements prix
Opportunities identified
490 M€ d'économies de coûts réalisées au S1, en ligne avec l'objectif de 1 Md€ pour 2026
Objectif confirmé de 130 M€ de synergies Cora & Match à horizon 2027
Cession de Carrefour Roumanie finalisée pour environ 500 M€ et recentrage sur 3 pays cœur
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.