Carrefour Stock Falls 2% Despite Price Target Increase by Citi to 19 Euros
Carrefour shares drop nearly 2% this Thursday morning, following the announcement of its quarterly sales and an upward revision of its price target by Citi. The decline occurs while the CAC 40 remains stable during the session, at 8,151 points (-0.06%).
Carrefour shares are trading at 16.48 euros mid-morning, down 1.93% from the previous closing price of 16.80 euros. This decline follows the announcement on Tuesday, April 22, of the first quarter 2026 revenue. On the same day, Citi raised its price target from 18 to 19 euros, while maintaining a buy recommendation. This new target represents an approximate 15% upside potential from the current price. The downward movement can be seen as a technical correction after a very strong performance in recent months: the stock has gained 19.17% over three months and nearly 23% over a year. The resistance identified at 16.80 euros, exactly matching the previous day's closing level, was not breached this Thursday, suggesting a short-term plateau.
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Graphically, Carrefour's stock price is in the upper part of its Bollinger Bands (upper boundary at 17.23 euros, lower boundary at 15.14 euros), positioned at 64% of the total amplitude. This situation reflects a valuation that is already advanced relative to recent dynamics, without indicating overbuying. The RSI, at 67, supports this interpretation: the stock is approaching the bullish tension zone (usually set at 70) without having reached it. However, the moving averages remain favorably oriented: the price is above the MM50 (15.75 euros) and well beyond the MM200 (13.78 euros), indicating a bullish underlying trend on intermediate and long horizons. The next financial milestone is set for July 23, the date of the publication of the 2026 half-year results. Until then, the support threshold at 15.01 euros represents the first major technical level in case of a more pronounced correction.
Objectifs 2026 confirmes : croissance du ROC, marge operationnelle en hausse de plus de 25 pbs vs 2025, cash-flow libre net en croissance vs 2025 (1 565 M€), resultat net ajuste par action en croissance dans le haut de la fourchette a un chiffre. Plan d'economies de 1 Md€ confirme (490 M€ realises au S1).
Risks mentioned
Résultat non courant dégradé à -165 M€ contre -39 M€ au S1 2025
ROC des Autres pays à -34 M€, fortement pénalisé par l'Argentine
Marge commerciale en baisse de -28 pbs à 19,1 % du CA lié aux investissements prix
Opportunities identified
490 M€ d'économies de coûts réalisées au S1, en ligne avec l'objectif de 1 Md€ pour 2026
Objectif confirmé de 130 M€ de synergies Cora & Match à horizon 2027
Cession de Carrefour Roumanie finalisée pour environ 500 M€ et recentrage sur 3 pays cœur
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.