Dassault Aviation Stock Soars Nearly 5%, Challenging Resistance at €309
The Saint-Cloud aircraft manufacturer sharply accelerates as the market close approaches, in a generally well-oriented Parisian market. The movement is part of a marked rebound in the defense sector, where Thales also makes comparable progress. The stock is testing a technical resistance that has been monitored for several weeks.
Intraday Breach of €309.40 Resistance Yet to be Confirmed
Dassault Aviation's stock gains 4.86% to €306.60 during the session, after reaching a high of €309.80. The stock crossed its identified resistance at €309.40 during the session before slightly receding, an encouraging but not yet validated signal. The progression is part of a sector rebound as Thales advances by 4.80% and Safran by 2.26%, boosting the entire French defense sector after several mixed sessions.
The stock moves above its three moving averages, with a gap of 3.55% over the MM20 and 4.40% over the MM50, indicating a clear recovery in short-term dynamics. The RSI at 62 remains in a neutral zone despite the rise, leaving room before overbought levels. The session erases part of the three-month decline, which remains at -9.59%.
CIC Market Solutions Upgrades to 'Buy' with a Target of €370
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Today's progression is accompanied by an upgraded opinion from CIC Market Solutions, which changed from 'hold' to 'buy' on July 2, maintaining its price target at €370. This level represents a potential of about 20% compared to the current price. Today's movement extends the rebound that started this week, after a sharp decline in the stock over three months.
Over a year, the performance remains positive at +4.33%, while the stock now operates near its key resistance at €309.40. Confirmation of a breakout above this zone, which was tested unsuccessfully during the session, will be the next technical milestone to watch.
Le Rafale a confirmé son succès en 2025, avec la livraison du 300 ème Rafale et la commande de 26 Rafale par la Marine indienne.
Dassault Aviation présente des résultats 2025 conformes à l’évolution attendue: chiffre d’affaires consolidé IFRS de 7 426 millions d’euros, résultat opérationnel consolidé IFRS de 639 millions d’euros, résultat net consolidé IFRS de 977 millions d’euros et marge nette consolidée IFRS de 13,2%. Trésorerie disponible à 9 415 millions d’euros. Carnet de commandes consolidé à 46 596 millions d’euros et ratio book-to-bill de 1,5x. Dividendes proposés de 4,78 euros par action (payout d’environ 35%). Pour 2026, le chiffre d’affaires est anticipé autour de 8,5 milliards d’euros avec 40 Falcon et 28 Rafale prévus.
Risks mentioned
Incertitudes liées aux contextes militaires, géopolitiques et budgétaires, couplés aux droits de douane et à l’incertitude sur le SCAF.
Pression fiscale dégrade la compétitivité de la Société.
Incertitudes liées au droit de douane américain au 1er semestre 2025 et à l’évolution du Make in India.
Opportunities identified
Progression possible grâce au Make in India et à la coopération avec des partenaires indiens (DRAL, Tata Advanced Systems).
Poursuite du développement et de la modernisation des programmes Rafale/Falcon et du SCAF, ARCHANGE et ALBATROS; potentiel d’accroître les exports.
Partenariats pour une IA souveraine et maîtrisée avec AMIAD, Thales (cortAIx) et Harmattan AI.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 8,5 milliards d'euros (2026)
Management commentary: La prévision pour 2026 prévoit un chiffre d’affaires en hausse par rapport à 2025, à 8,5 milliards d’euros, soutenu par les livraisons prévues de Rafale et Falcon (40 Falcon et 28 Rafale).
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
