Nexity Shares Continue to Decline at Close, Under Technical Pressure
The stock of real estate developer Nexity closed down 2.91% on Tuesday, January 20th, settling at 8.35 euros compared to 8.60 euros the day before. This new contraction brings the weekly decline to 4.41% and confirms a persistent downward trend across all time horizons. Trading volume remains low with only 0.36% of the capital traded, indicating limited investor participation in a real estate sector still marked by uncertainty.
The stock of Nexity is in a bearish technical configuration. The price of 8.35 euros is now below the support threshold of 8.60 euros breached during the session, potentially paving the way for a continuation of the movement towards lower levels. The 50-day moving average, set at 8.84 euros, acts as an immediate resistance and highlights the selling pressure that has weighed on the stock for several weeks. The RSI at 41 points remains in a neutral zone, without signaling oversold conditions, which leaves room for a potential continuation of the decline. The MACD also displays a negative histogram at -0.02, indicating unfavorable momentum. The Bollinger Bands frame the price between 8.48 and 9.15 euros, confirming contained volatility but positioning the stock in the lower part of its recent evolution channel. Over one year, the performance remains strongly negative at -29.36%, illustrating the severity of the correction undergone by the real estate development sector.
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The developer operates in a sector environment marked by structural difficulties. The new housing market is experiencing an unprecedented crisis in France, with a drop in sales and weakened developers. The real estate sector is expected to continue to be shaken in 2026 by a fragile economic context, and despite the gradual easing of rates, the recovery remains uncertain. Market players nevertheless anticipate medium-term developments.
Nexity is expected to publish its annual results for 2025 on February 25th, a highly anticipated event to confirm the return to operational profitability announced by the management. In the first nine months of 2025, the group achieved 1.93 billion euros in revenue in a slowed market, while aiming for a positive operational result for the full year.
sous réserve de l'absence de nouvelle dégradation significative de l'environnement
Risks mentioned
Environnement macroéconomique dégradé s'installant dans la durée, marqué par la remontée de l'inflation et des taux longs pesant sur le pouvoir d'achat des ménages
Marché du logement neuf se maintenant durablement à un point bas
Capacité d'emprunt des ménages réduite par la hausse des taux (OAT 10 ans à ~5%, taux d'emprunt moyen à 3,40%)
Opportunities identified
Recomposition des marges en aménagement et promotion grâce aux transformations engagées et au plan d'économies de 100 M€
Backlog solide de 3,5 Md€ (1,6 année d'activité) avec rechargement sélectif en opérations à marges d'engagement cible
Partenariat stratégique avec BPCE en distribution de logements neufs et réhabilités prévu en décembre 2026
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Ainsi, et sous réserve de l'absence de nouvelle dégradation significative de l'environnement, la guidance communiquée en février dernier pour l'ensemble de l'exercice 2026 est confirmée : Amélioration de la rentabilité opérationnelle avec un ROC New Nexity en hausse sur 2026
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.