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Oracle Shares Drop 5.66% to $165.16, Below Key Moving Averages

At the close of Tuesday's session on Wall Street, Oracle Corporation's stock experienced a significant decline, finishing at $165.16. This movement occurred on a challenging day for U.S. tech stocks in a deteriorating tech environment, with the S&P 500 dropping 0.78% to 7,414.2 points. The California-based company's fall significantly exceeded that of the benchmark index.


Oracle Shares Drop 5.66% to $165.16, Below Key Moving Averages

A Marked Decline in the Wake of Pressure on the Tech Sector

Oracle Corporation's stock fell by 5.66% in the latest session, dropping from $175.07 to $165.16. This decline is part of an overall unfavorable day for large tech capitalizations listed on Wall Street, as evidenced by the parallel declines of Nvidia, down 4.13%, and Intel, which dropped 6.14%. The macroeconomic context also weighs on the sector. Barclays strategists believe that the phase of supporting equity markets through accommodative monetary policies is coming to an end, with nine members of the FOMC now anticipating at least one additional rate hike by the end of 2026. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury is hovering around 4.50%, a level that tends to compress the valuation multiples of growth stocks. The VIX, a volatility barometer, stands at 19.22, slightly down by 1.39% from its previous value, indicating contained market tension despite corrections in some tech stocks.

Deteriorated Technical Configuration Below Key Moving Averages

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Graphically, the configuration has significantly deteriorated. The price of $165.16 now moves well below the 50-day moving average, which is at $189.67, as well as the 200-day moving average, at $201.71. The gap with the MM50 is approximately 12.9%, and with the MM200, it is nearly 18.1%, illustrating the loss of momentum of the stock relative to its medium and long-term trend. The MACD confirms this negative orientation: the MACD line at -4.66 moves below its signal line at 1.20, and the histogram is set at -5.86, indicating a widening bearish gap. The RSI, at 55, remains in the neutral zone, with no immediate oversold signal, theoretically leaving room for the movement to continue before a possible technical inflection point.

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Context

Period
  • Period: T2 2026
Guidance from the release
  • Les RPO ont augmenté de $68 billion au T2 pour atteindre $523 billion, soulignant de nouveaux engagements de Meta, NVIDIA et d'autres.
  • Résultats T2 solides : revenus totaux $16.1 billion (+14 % en USD), croissance cloud importante ($8.0 billion, +34 %), RPO à $523 billion (+438 %), GAAP EPS porté à $2.10 en partie par un gain avant impôts de $2.7 billion lié à la cession d'Ampere; dividende trimestriel de $0.50 déclaré.
Risks mentioned
  • Risques liés au développement et à l'intégration de nouveaux produits et services, y compris IA
  • Risque de gestion d'offres cloud et hardware complexes et d'approvisionnement en GPU/CPU
  • Capacité et gestion des datacenters
  • Erreurs de codage, fabrication ou configuration
Opportunities identified
  • Croissance forte du cloud et de l'infrastructure IaaS (IaaS + SaaS)
  • Expansion multicloud et intégration dans Amazon, Google et Microsoft
  • Embedding de l'IA dans les trois couches logicielles (datacenter, base de données autonome, applications)
  • Demandes importantes de formation et vente de modèles d'IA
  • Grands engagements clients (ex : Meta, NVIDIA) augmentant les RPO
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