Safran Shares Drop 2% and Struggle with a Technical Barrier at €299.81
The aerospace engine manufacturer significantly declines at mid-session this Wednesday, within a CAC 40 that is also trending downward. The stock is among the most retracted values of the Parisian index, as it moves near key technical benchmarks.
Safran Shares Fall 2.11% to €291.70, Among the Largest Declines in the CAC 40
Safran shares lose 2.11% to €291.70, down from €298 the previous day, marking one of the steepest declines in the CAC 40, which itself is down 0.47% at 8170 points. This drop follows a more favorable end of May, as demonstrated by the bullish session on May 29, and comes after a pause observed on Monday amid rising oil prices. The seven-day performance has thus fallen back into negative territory, at -1.15%, with the stock down 13.21% over three months. However, it still shows a year-on-year gain of 11.42%. The aerospace sector generally suffers in the session: Airbus is down nearly 2% within the same index. The CAC 40 (8170 points) and the SBF 120 (6202 points) are also trending downward, while the VIX stands at 15.32, a level that remains contained.
The Stock Falls Below Its 200-Day Moving Average at €299.81, with a Support Level at €265.20
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With a current price of €291.70, the stock is slightly above its short-term moving averages (MM20 at €288.53, MM50 at €288.25, approximately +1.1%), but remains below its 200-day moving average at €299.81, a gap of -2.71%. This long-term benchmark, previously crossed and then regained on May 27, becomes a barrier to overcome before considering a move towards the identified resistance at €305.70. The RSI at 56 remains neutral, with no immediate exhaustion signal in either direction. The one-month volatility, at 9.06, reflects a measured range of recent fluctuations. Below, the support at €265.20 remains the reference level in case of a bearish acceleration, but it is still distant from the current price. The trajectory of the upcoming sessions will largely depend on the stock's behavior relative to its long-term average.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
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