Safran Stock: Shares Rebound Nearly 3% and Move Above the MM200
The aerospace engine manufacturer significantly rebounds in mid-afternoon, after a session of decline the previous day. The stock benefits from a robust CAC 40, driven by luxury goods values, and regains ground against its key technical benchmarks.
A Rebound That Brings the Stock Above Its Three Moving Averages
Safran's stock rises 2.85% to €303.50, up from €295.10 at the previous close. The stock has moved above its three key moving averages: the MM20 at €280.92, the MM50 at €288.51, and the MM200 at €299.56, which had been breached in previous sessions. The crossing of the latter, long used as a trend indicator, occurs as the RSI at 55 moves from a neutral zone into a bullish dynamic. The MACD, now positive at 0.92 and above its signal line, reinforces the short-term momentum recovery. The next resistance zone is at €317.40, about 4.6% above the current price. Over the week, the stock now shows a gain of 10.69%, which partially offsets the quarterly decline of 12.44%.
The rebound is part of a broadly bullish session in Paris, with the CAC 40 up 1.21% at 8,271 points, driven by a rebound in luxury stocks. Safran advances, though not leading the index, dominated by Kering, L'Oréal, and Renault.
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The stock now operates in a lighter event calendar after the general assembly held on Thursday, May 21. Over the year, the stock maintains a performance of 16.73%, indicating that the correction phase in the spring has not undermined the underlying trend, although the stock remains below its historical high recorded in February after the announcement of annual results.
The macroeconomic context remains under scrutiny. Persistent tensions around the Strait of Hormuz keep Brent close to $98 and WTI around $92, levels that fuel inflationary fears expressed by Neel Kashkari at the Federal Reserve of Minneapolis. The European Commission has also published an alternative scenario suggesting a barrel around $180 in the fourth quarter of 2026 if the crisis continues. For the aerospace engine manufacturer, whose demand depends on global air traffic, these energy cost developments are to be monitored, without a direct mechanical link to today's valuation. The next technical level to watch is the resistance at €317.40, a logical extension of the crossing of the MM200 achieved this Wednesday.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
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