Stellantis Stock Lagging the CAC 40, Down 47% Over One Year
Stellantis is sinking to the bottom of the CAC 40 on Monday, in a Paris market that remains virtually stable. The Italian-American automaker is thus posting the index's steepest decline, extending severe depreciation that began several months ago. The technical configuration remains under pressure, with a stock trading significantly below its main moving averages.
Stellantis Lagging the Stable CAC 40, Down Nearly 3% During Trading
During trading on Monday, Stellantis declines 2.88% to €4.52, becoming the CAC 40's steepest loser while the Paris index remains virtually unchanged (+0.01%). The stock stands out against a broadly well-oriented European market, with the DAX and FTSE 100 advancing modestly during the session. Renault, the only available comparable in the sector, loses 1.96% for its part, illustrating broader pressure on French automotive stocks on Monday, though the two declines cannot be directly linked.
Over one month, the stock gives up 10.1%, and the slide over three months reaches 30.66%, representing a contraction of nearly one-third of market capitalization over this single quarter. Over one year, losses exceed 47%. The VIX, an indicator of implicit volatility in American markets, edges up slightly to 15.93 during trading, compared to 15.13 at the last close, without signaling particular stress in global markets.
Degraded Technical Configuration With Stock Price Far Below Its Moving Averages
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Analysis of indicators confirms the extent of erosion. Stellantis trades at €4.52, roughly 6% below its twenty-day moving average (€4.80) and more than 10% below the fifty-day average (€5.02). The gap to the two-hundred-day moving average is even more striking: at €6.90, this long-term reference sits more than 34% above the current price, a sign of a downtrend established over time. The RSI at 43, in neutral territory but trending downward, does not yet signal clear selling exhaustion. The identified support at €4.38 remains close, less than 1.5% below the current price.
From a fundamental perspective, according to analyst consensus surveyed, the stock is trading at approximately 8 times expected earnings for the current fiscal year and 4 times those of the following fiscal year, a low valuation reflecting uncertainties weighing on the group's profitability. When publishing first-half 2026 results on July 23, the group notably highlighted a 140% year-over-year increase in electric vehicle order intake from small and medium-sized fleets, while acknowledging that price alignment of electric vans with diesel models continued to weigh on margins. The support at €4.38 now constitutes the immediate level to monitor for the remainder of trading.
Le deuxième trimestre a été marqué par des progrès continus, portés par l'Amérique du Nord et soutenus par des contributions importantes de toutes les autres régions. Nous restons confiants dans la réalisation de nos prévisions financières 2026.
Les revenus nets progressent de 13 % à 43,5 milliards d'euros, tirés par l'Amérique du Nord (+32 %) et l'Amérique du Sud (+6 %), l'Europe élargie étant stable et le Moyen-Orient & Afrique ainsi que l'Asie-Pacifique en léger recul. Le résultat opérationnel ajusté atteint 0,8 milliard d'euros (marge de 1,8 %, +120 points de base), toutes les régions affichant une marge positive à l'exception de l'Europe élargie (-0,6 %). Le bénéfice net s'établit à 0,3 milliard d'euros et les flux de trésorerie disponibles industriels à 1,0 milliard d'euros, en amélioration de 1,0 milliard d'euros. La liquidité industrielle disponible s'élève à 44,1 milliards d'euros, soit 27 % des revenus nets des douze derniers mois. Part de marché de 7,4 % en Amérique du Nord (+40 pb), 16,0 % dans l'EU30 (-80 pb), 19,1 % en Amérique du Sud.
Risks mentioned
Impact net des droits de douane estimé entre 1,0 et 1,2 milliard d'euros en 2026
Marge opérationnelle ajustée négative en Europe élargie (-0,6 %)
Ventes en Asie-Pacifique en baisse de 29 %, tirées par le recul de la Peugeot 408
Environ 2 milliards d'euros de sorties de trésorerie liées aux charges du S2 2025
Opportunities identified
Plan stratégique FaSTLAne 2030 en cours de déploiement
Quatrième trimestre consécutif de croissance des ventes en Amérique du Nord
Leapmotor : ventes multipliées par six en Europe sur un an
Partenariat avec DFM pour développer des modèles Peugeot et Jeep en Chine
Lancement de la Leapmotor B10 prévu au T3 2026 et assemblage local en Malaisie
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