Thales Shares Drop 2% Breaking Below MM20 and MM50, Support at €219.40
The defense electronics group's stock is significantly down at mid-session in a declining Paris market. The stock erases some of last week's rebound, as the CAC 40 index loses ground amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The stock falls 1.94% and dips below the key €230 threshold
Thales shares are down 1.94% at €227.90, from €232.40 at the last close. This movement contrasts with last Monday's rebound, when the stock was among the biggest gainers on the CAC 40 following the presentation at Eurosatory of a military vehicle co-developed with Renault. The decline is part of an overall negative session for the Parisian stock market, with the CAC 40 down 0.75% at 8,358.40 points as both defensive and growth stocks fall. On a technical reference level, the price is now below its three moving averages: MM20 at €232.14 (-1.83%) and MM50 at €236.29 (-3.55%) have been breached, while MM200 at €244.91 remains nearly 7% above the current price. The RSI at 49 remains in neutral territory, without a clear exhaustion signal. The support at €219.40 is the next identifiable level if the downward movement continues.
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Today's session unfolds against a backdrop of persistent tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, after the US CENTCOM denied Iranian claims of having closed the passage on Sunday. Maritime traffic continues, but operators remain vigilant. Brent crude is trading around $78.7 per barrel, down from the peaks reached at the height of the crisis. Concurrently, a Ukrainian drone offensive against Russian energy infrastructure in Crimea has led to the suspension of fuel sales to civilians on the peninsula, increasing the risk premium on energy markets. Over the last twelve months, Thales shares have declined by 8.62%, and are down 5.94% over three months. The one-month volatility stands at 8.97, indicating a contained range of movement despite recent fluctuations. The stock is down in the CAC 40, while Hermès, EssilorLuxottica, and Sanofi are among the biggest losers in the index today. In the short term, the holding of the €219.40 support will be the technical element to watch, in a market environment dominated by energy and geopolitical issues.
Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
-1 618 millions d'euros
Dividend per share: 3,90 €
Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
