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Last updated : 23/09/2026 - 17h35
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Will These 5 Stocks Rebound?

In Wednesday's September 23, 2026 session, the CAC 40 declines 0.41% to 8,121.44 points, in an environment of contained volatility (VIX at 14.81). Against this calm backdrop, five stocks listed on the Paris exchange present a similar technical profile: an RSI in oversold territory and a price in contact with an identified support level.


Will These 5 Stocks Rebound?

A Common Technical Signal: Pronounced Oversold Conditions and Tested Support Levels

The common denominator of these five stocks lies in the conjunction of two indicators. First, a 14-day RSI between 22 and 26, well below the 30 threshold traditionally associated with oversold territory. This indicator measures the speed and magnitude of recent price movements; a level this low reflects sustained selling pressure.

Next, each stock is evolving in the immediate vicinity of a horizontal technical support level. Voltalia trades at €4.63 with support at €4.54, a margin of less than 2%, with an RSI of 22, the lowest in the panel. Trigano, at €132.50, is trading slightly below its theoretical support of €132.90, within the lower band of its Bollinger Bands (€135.71). Carmila is trading at €14.92 against support at €14.94. NRJ Group presents the clearest case: at €6.00, the price sits exactly at its support level. Finally, Métropole TV, at €11.12, is trading just below its support at €11.20.

All these stocks also share a position below their 20-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming an underlying weakened trend. This type of configuration may precede a technical rebound when sellers exhaust themselves, but a clear break of support would instead pave the way for a continuation of the decline. Caution is therefore warranted in interpreting these signals.

Heterogeneous Sectoral and Fundamental Profiles

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Behind this common technical denominator, the five stocks present very different situations. Voltalia, the sole representative of the renewable energy sector, displays negative 2025 EPS of -€0.98 and a market capitalization of €609 million. Consensus is mixed: among 7 analysts followed, only 2 to 3 are buyers, with an average target of €7.75 (67% upside potential). The next third-quarter revenue publication is expected on October 22.

Trigano, a specialist in motorhomes (€2.56 billion market cap), presents the most solid fundamental profile in the panel with 2025 earnings per share of €12.41 and near-unanimous consensus to buy (8 positive opinions out of 9 analysts tracked, average target €187). The group is publishing precisely today its 2026 full-year revenue, which may explain some of the tension on the stock.

Carmila, a commercial real estate fund, also benefits from rather favorable consensus (4 buys out of 6 analysts, target €20.25). NRJ Group combines a perfectly tested support and the best recommendation score in the panel (86.5), but with coverage limited to two analysts. The M6 group presents the most measured consensus: among 7 analysts, only 2 recommend a buy, with JP Morgan underweighting at a €11.70 target, while median upside potential stands at 16%.

The calendars of quarterly publications, staggered between October 22 and November 5, will be so many catalysts to monitor in order to validate or invalidate the thesis of a technical rebound.

This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.



Sector Énergie Énergies renouvelables


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Context

Period
  • Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 331,3 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 331,3 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 32 %
  • EBITDA: 110,3 millions d'euros
  • EBITDA margin: 33,3 %
  • Net income: -43,3 millions d'euros
  • Free cash flow: -37,9 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
  • perte nette attendue en 2026 (y compris au deuxième semestre). Cette évolution reflète la poursuite au second semestre des facteurs défavorables
Risks mentioned
  • Poursuite des facteurs défavorables sur les postes situés sous l'EBITDA, en particulier les charges financières
  • Poids de certains actifs déficitaires et leurs plans d'actions ne se concrétisent pas encore
  • Pénalisation par une ressource éolienne moins favorable et disponibilité plus faible notamment au Brésil
Opportunities identified
  • Montée en puissance des nouvelles centrales en Afrique du Sud, Ouzbékistan et Europe contribuant progressivement
  • Dynamique soutenue de Renvolt avec 750 MW en construction pour des clients tiers
  • Programme de cessions d'actifs de 300 à 350 millions d'euros concentrées sur le premier semestre 2027
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected EBITDA: 220 millions d'euros
  • Management commentary: « Objectifs financiers : confirmation d un EBITDA 2026 compris entre 210 et 230 millions d euros incluant 190 à 210 millions d euros générés par l activité de Ventes d énergie » (RFS S1 2026 du 10/09/2026, idem CP T2 du 23/07). AUCUNE prévision de chiffre d affaires chiffrée dans ces documents : le 525 servi en CA et la fourchette 210→230 recopiée en CA (c était la fourchette d EBITDA) sont retirés le 13/09/2026 (relecture cc@/claude).

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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