Dassault Aviation Shares Down 0.42% Midday, Defense Sector in the Red
In a tense market environment, Dassault Aviation is losing ground this Thursday, as the entire defense and aerospace sectors are in the red. The VIX volatility index, although significantly lower than the previous session, remains high at 25.25 points, indicating persistent nervousness in global markets. The geopolitical backdrop, marked by escalating verbal exchanges between Washington and Tehran, is clouding traders' expectations.
DASSAULT AVIATION is down by 0.42% mid-session at €334.40, after closing at €335.80 the previous day. This movement is part of a generally unfavorable sectoral context: Airbus is down 2.11% and Schneider Electric drops 3.52% over the same period, illustrating a selling pressure affecting all French industrial stocks. Tensions between the United States and Iran are the main trigger for this turbulent session. After Donald Trump mentioned a possible de-escalation, Tehran firmly denied it, before the American president promised new strikes over several weeks. This conflictual rhetoric feeds uncertainty in the markets, although paradoxically, a prolonged escalation could structurally benefit defense groups in the long term. In the short term, volatility prevails. Over the past month, the stock has declined by 1.24%, but it has gained 22.13% over three months, indicating that the underlying bullish momentum remains intact. The year-on-year performance stands at 9.07%.
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Technically, the stock is trading above its 50-day moving average, set at €332.35, which acts as a first level of support to watch. The 200-day moving average at €294.25 confirms that the underlying trend remains bullish despite recent fluctuations. The RSI at 53 indicates a neutral configuration, with no signs of overbought or oversold conditions, allowing room for movement in either direction. The key support level is at €310.00, while the resistance at €353.40 is the next technical target in case of a rebound. With a monthly volatility of 8.92% and a beta of 0.03, the stock shows a historically low sensitivity to overall market fluctuations, a feature that provides relative stability in turbulent phases. On the calendar side, the next institutional appointments are scheduled for May 13 for the annual general meeting of shareholders, followed by July 22 for the publication of the first half of 2026 results. These dates could be focal points for operators in the coming weeks.
Le Rafale a confirmé son succès en 2025, avec la livraison du 300 ème Rafale et la commande de 26 Rafale par la Marine indienne.
Dassault Aviation présente des résultats 2025 conformes à l’évolution attendue: chiffre d’affaires consolidé IFRS de 7 426 millions d’euros, résultat opérationnel consolidé IFRS de 639 millions d’euros, résultat net consolidé IFRS de 977 millions d’euros et marge nette consolidée IFRS de 13,2%. Trésorerie disponible à 9 415 millions d’euros. Carnet de commandes consolidé à 46 596 millions d’euros et ratio book-to-bill de 1,5x. Dividendes proposés de 4,78 euros par action (payout d’environ 35%). Pour 2026, le chiffre d’affaires est anticipé autour de 8,5 milliards d’euros avec 40 Falcon et 28 Rafale prévus.
Risks mentioned
Incertitudes liées aux contextes militaires, géopolitiques et budgétaires, couplés aux droits de douane et à l’incertitude sur le SCAF.
Pression fiscale dégrade la compétitivité de la Société.
Incertitudes liées au droit de douane américain au 1er semestre 2025 et à l’évolution du Make in India.
Opportunities identified
Progression possible grâce au Make in India et à la coopération avec des partenaires indiens (DRAL, Tata Advanced Systems).
Poursuite du développement et de la modernisation des programmes Rafale/Falcon et du SCAF, ARCHANGE et ALBATROS; potentiel d’accroître les exports.
Partenariats pour une IA souveraine et maîtrisée avec AMIAD, Thales (cortAIx) et Harmattan AI.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 8,5 milliards d'euros (2026)
Management commentary: La prévision pour 2026 prévoit un chiffre d’affaires en hausse par rapport à 2025, à 8,5 milliards d’euros, soutenu par les livraisons prévues de Rafale et Falcon (40 Falcon et 28 Rafale).
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
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