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Alstom shares hit a 2-year low at €10.51 and fall 4.5%

The rail manufacturer extends its decline after a historic collapse and closes at the bottom of its index. Two brokerage firms have just revised their targets downward, while the stock is now trading at levels it had not seen for a long time.


Alstom shares hit a 2-year low at €10.51 and fall 4.5%

New intraday low at €10.51, well below all moving averages

Alstom shares were quoted at €11.17 in early afternoon, down 4.45%, and ranked last in the SBF 120 while the index shed just 0.07%.

The stock touched €10.51 during the session, erasing its previous two-year low at €10.89. It also broke below the lows of the past 30, 150 and 250 sessions (€11.69), which have now become resistance.

The share price thus sits 28.2% below its 20-day moving average and 41.3% below its 200-day moving average, a gap that reflects the scale of the decline: -31.4% over the week. The RSI at 18 reflects the same intensity of the selling movement.

JP Morgan and Oddo BHF cut their price targets by nearly half

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Analyst opinions accompany this movement. Oddo BHF lowered its target from €24 to €12 with a neutral rating, while JP Morgan moved from overweight to neutral and cut its target from €28 to €15.60. These revisions follow the publication, on Monday, November 2, of preliminary half-year results showing a negative adjusted EBIT margin.

The group lowered its annual targets, reporting a negative adjusted EBIT margin in its half-year results, compared with a previously targeted guidance of 6.5%. The disclosures consulted also list seven short-selling funds, for a cumulative short position of 5.49% of the share capital, up 0.42 points over 30 days.

At 7.4 times expected earnings for the current financial year according to the consensus of the analysts surveyed, the stock now trades at a significantly lower valuation than a few weeks ago.



Sector Machines et équipements industriels › Machines / équipements industriels


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Context

Period
  • Period: S1 2027
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 9 300 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 9 300 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 3 %
  • Free cash flow: -1 248 millions d'euros
  • 1 100 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
  • « Marge d'exploitation ajustée d'environ 1 % pour l'exercice fiscal 2026/27, contre 6,5 % annoncé précédemment » ; « Cash-flow libre de (1,5) milliard d'euros pour l'exercice fiscal 2026/27, contre une génération de cash-flow libre positive précédemment »
Risks mentioned
  • Difficultés persistantes d'exécution de Coradia Max et allongement du calendrier d'homologation
  • Décalage de paiements de jalons sur exercices futurs et impact sur cash-flow 2026/27
  • Risques opérationnels identifiés sur autres projets allemands nécessitant rationalisation
Opportunities identified
  • Demande solide pour les solutions ferroviaires et portefeuille d'opportunités robuste
  • Initiatives opérationnelles et plan de désendettement en cours pour renforcer le bilan
  • Capital Markets Day T2 2027 présentant la trajectoire financière à moyen terme et marges vers 8-10%
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: 19 746 millions d'euros
  • Management commentary: « Croissance organique du chiffre d'affaires comprise entre 2 % et 4 % au cours de l'exercice fiscal 2026/27, contre environ 5 % précédemment »

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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