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Renault Shares Rebound 3.3% at Close Despite Lowered Targets

Renault shares closed at 32.90 euros on Wednesday, January 21st at the Paris stock exchange, marking a 3.3% gain from the previous day. This renewed interest occurs in a context marked by the release of the group's 2025 commercial results, while several financial intermediaries have recently lowered their forecasts for the automaker.


Renault Shares Rebound 3.3% at Close Despite Lowered Targets

A Breather for Renault Shares After a Series of Declines

The rise in share price observed this Wednesday allows Renault shares to recover after several sessions in the red. However, the automaker still shows a decline of 1.59% over seven days and remains down by 31.7% over the year, indicating a challenging underlying dynamic.

Technically, the RSI indicator remains positioned at 24 points, keeping the shares in an oversold zone, which usually suggests a potential short-term rebound if buyers regain control. However, the share price is still significantly below its strategic moving averages: the MM50 is at 35.05 euros and the MM200 at 37.64 euros, signaling a bearish trend that has not yet reversed. The support threshold is established at 31.15 euros, which the share recently tested, while major resistance is outlined at 37.40 euros. The one-month volatility reaches 6.93, reflecting the ongoing tensions surrounding the stock.

Investors Face Recent Course Target Adjustments from Leading Financial Intermediaries

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Investors have to deal with two recent course target adjustments from leading financial intermediaries. Deutsche Bank lowered its target from 44 to 42 euros this Tuesday while maintaining its hold rating. A few days earlier, Citi also reduced its target from 42 to 38 euros, yet maintained a buy rating, giving it a theoretical potential for a 15.5% increase from the last quoted price.

These revisions come after the Monday release of the group's annual commercial performances, which reported 2.337 million vehicles sold in 2025, marking a growth for the third consecutive year. Analysts, however, mention structural pressures linked to a challenging European environment, intensifying Asian competition, and the impact of the electrification of the range on operational margins. The next release of the 2025 fiscal results is scheduled for February 19.



Sector Industrie · Automobile · Constructeurs automobiles Automobiles


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 2025
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 57 922 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 3,0 %
  • Net income: -10 931 millions d'euros
  • Free cash flow: 1 473 millions d'euros
  • Net debt: 7 370 millions d'euros
  • Dividend per share: 2,20 euros par action
Guidance from the release
  • "Nos résultats 2025, dans un contexte de marché difficile, démontrent l’engagement de nos équipes pour délivrer une performance régulière de premier plan parmi les acteurs de l’industrie automobile."
  • Résultats 2025: chiffre d’affaires Groupe de 57 922 millions d’euros (+3,0 % YoY; +4,5 % à taux de change constants); chiffre d’affaires Automobile de 51 442 millions d’euros (+1,8 %); marge opérationnelle Groupe de 6,3 %; résultat net part du Groupe de -10 931 millions d’euros; résultat net du Groupe hors Nissan de 715 millions d’euros; free cash-flow Automobile de 1 473 millions d’euros; position financière nette Automobile de 7 370 millions d’euros; dividende proposé de 2,20 euros par action; perspectives 2026: marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 %, free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros et dividendes Mobilize Financial Services d’environ 350 millions d’euros; perspectives à moyen terme axées sur une croissance soutenue et la réduction des coûts.
Outlook / guidance
  • Management commentary: Renault Group vise une marge opérationnelle du Groupe entre 5 % et 7 % du chiffre d’affaires sur le moyen terme et un free cash-flow de l’Automobile d’environ 1,0 milliard d’euros par an en moyenne sur le moyen terme, incluant environ 350 millions d’euros de dividendes reçus de Mobilize Financial Services à partir de 2026.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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