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Safran Continues to Raise Targets, Shares Dip 1.06% at Midday

Safran's stock falls 1.06% to 316.80 euros this Thursday mid-session, despite two consecutive target upgrades from Barclays and Kepler Cheuvreux, setting their respective targets at 340 and 354 euros. The stock takes a technical pause after reaching 325.80 euros on Wednesday, ahead of the expected 2025 annual results on February 13.


Safran Continues to Raise Targets, Shares Dip 1.06% at Midday

Stock Performance Amid Positive Recommendations

Safran's shares are down 1.06% at mid-session this Thursday, January 15, trading at 316.80 euros compared to 320.20 euros the previous day. This decline occurs despite a particularly favorable recommendation environment: Barclays raised its price target from 330 to 340 euros, maintaining its overweight recommendation, while Kepler Cheuvreux increased its target from 320 to 354 euros, keeping its buy advice. These successive revisions follow those from Deutsche Bank on Monday and from Rothschild & Co Redburn, indicating a broadly positive consensus on the aerospace engine and equipment manufacturer. The traded capital share remains modest at 0.02%, reflecting a session without major catalysts to animate trading. Over a week, the stock nevertheless shows a decline of 1.8%, marking a pause after reaching 325.80 euros last Wednesday, its recent high level. Over three months, the performance remains positive with a gain of 5.78%, while over a year, the surge reaches 42.38%, confirming the strength of the long-term trend. This consolidation movement appears technical, as the stock had risen rapidly in recent weeks without real respite.

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The RSI stands at 66, indicating that the stock maintains sustained bullish momentum without yet reaching the overbought zone marked at 70. This level demonstrates a still favorable dynamic, but suggests that margins for progress remain available before a potential overheating. The price moves well above its structuring moving averages: 301.27 euros for the MM50 and 278.87 euros for the MM200, reinforcing the bullish configuration in the medium and long term. The crossing of the resistance threshold at 325.80 euros, which occurred last Wednesday, has not been consolidated, with the stock since entering a digestion phase. The MACD displays a line at 7.99, above the signal line at 6.54, with a positive histogram at 1.45, confirming that the configuration remains bullish in the medium term. This technical setup, combined with a broadly favorable recommendation environment, reinforces the positive dynamics of the case. The support threshold remains at 286.10 euros, providing a safety net in case of a more marked correction. The financial calendar schedules the publication of the 2025 annual results on February 13, a key date to validate the growth prospects of the group in an aerospace sector that continues its post-Covid ramp-up. Investors will particularly scrutinize Safran's ability to confirm its cash flow generation targets and the dynamics of its aftermarket segment, the most profitable part of the business.



Sector Défense · Aéronautique · Industrie Aérospatiale


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 2025
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 31 189 M€
  • Revenue growth: 12,5 %
  • EBITDA: 6 318 M€
  • EBITDA margin: 20,3 %
  • Net income: 3 174 M€
  • Free cash flow: 3 921 M€
  • Dividend per share: 3,35 €
  • Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
  • "2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
  • Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
  • Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
  • Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
  • Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
  • Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
  • Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
  • Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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