Safran Shares Drop 1.91% Mid-Session After Surpassing 320 Euros
Safran's stock falls by 1.91% to 313.50 euros, taking a breather after breaking through its technical resistance at 322.60 euros on Wednesday. UBS has raised its price target from 315 to 330 euros, confirming analyst support for the stock despite an RSI in the overbought zone at 73 points.
This pullback marks a pause in the sustained progression of the stock, which had gained 5.41% over the past seven days and surpassed the symbolic threshold of 322.60 euros, its major technical resistance, on Wednesday. Over three months, the performance remains positive with an increase of 3.19%, while over a year, the aerospace equipment manufacturer shows an exceptional performance of 45%. The traded volumes remain contained with only 0.02% of the capital traded, reflecting a quiet session in the absence of major catalysts. The RSI stands at 73, confirming that the stock is in an overbought zone. This level indicates an acceleration of purchases in recent sessions but also suggests that a technical consolidation might be necessary before a new bullish impulse. The price remains well above its key moving averages: 300.07 euros for the 50-day moving average and 277.16 euros for the 200-day moving average, confirming the solidity of the underlying trend. The resistance at 322.60 euros, now surpassed on Wednesday, acts as a potential new support in case the corrective movement continues.
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The recommendation environment remains supportive for Safran. UBS raised its price target on Thursday, January 9, from 315 to 330 euros, while maintaining a neutral recommendation on the stock. This revision follows that of Bernstein, which on January 6 raised its target from 370 to 380 euros, maintaining its outperformance advice. These revisions reflect the analysts' confidence in the trajectory of the engine and aerospace equipment manufacturer, which benefits from sustained demand for its LEAP engines and a favorable dynamic in after-sales. The MACD, with a line at 5.50 above the signal line at 2.96 and a positive histogram at 2.54, remains in a bullish configuration. This configuration supports the positive medium-term momentum, even though today's pullback reflects a logical profit-taking after a marked progression sequence. The financial calendar anticipates the publication of the annual results for 2025 on February 13. Investors will particularly scrutinize the group's ability to confirm its organic growth targets and cash flow generation, in an aerospace sector that continues its post-Covid ramp-up. The support threshold at 286.10 euros represents a key level to preserve to maintain the bullish structure intact.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.