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Safran Stock Rises 1.82% in Session with Innovative Partnership


Safran Stock Rises 1.82% in Session with Innovative Partnership

Safran's stock closed the session on Monday, January 5, 2026, at 312.80 euros, marking a 1.82% increase from Friday's closing price of 307.20 euros. The aerospace equipment and engine manufacturer's stock traded 0.12% of its capital, with volumes slightly above the average of the last sessions of the year. This increase is part of a broader positive momentum, with the stock having gained 4.51% over seven days and 3.2% over three months. Over the year, the performance remains significant with an increase of 47.83%, confirming Safran's status among the top performers in the CAC 40 in 2025.

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Technically, Safran's stock continues its movement above its 200-day moving average set at 275.76 euros, with a gap of more than 37 euros validating the solidity of the underlying bullish trend. The price also remains above its 50-day moving average at 299.12 euros, signaling a positive short-term dynamic. The RSI at 65 points indicates that the stock is gradually approaching the overbought zone set at 70, but still has room for progression before reaching levels of excessive valuation. The MACD shows a favorable configuration with a MACD line at 0.83 higher than the signal line at -0.26, while the positive histogram at 1.09 confirms that the momentum remains constructive. This bullish divergence suggests that the recovery movement started at the beginning of the year could continue in the short term. However, the stock is trading below its technical resistance at 310.30 euros, whose sustained breach would pave the way for new highs. The key support is at 282.50 euros, a level that must be preserved to maintain investor confidence. The Bollinger Bands, with an upper bound at 305.84 euros and a lower bound at 287.79 euros, frame the movement and suggest controlled volatility at 5.81% over a month.

The stock continues to benefit from active support from the financial community. JPMorgan raised its price target from 350 to 375 euros in mid-December while reiterating its overweight recommendation, implying an upside potential of nearly 20% from the current price. Deutsche Bank maintains its buy recommendation with a target set at 325 euros since November. These bullish revisions are based on the favorable prospects of the group, which is multiplying commercial successes with recent contracts from Avolon for 100 LEAP-1A engines, as well as from Emirates and Saudi company Riyadh Air. The analysis of cash flows reveals a slightly positive CMF at 0.08, indicating that purchases remain predominant despite contained volumes. The negative OBV at -3,137,296, however, reflects some caution among investors, who are waiting for more significant catalysts to strengthen their positions. The next major financial event is scheduled for February 13, 2026, with the publication of the annual results for 2025, followed by the general meeting scheduled for May 21. The fundamentals of the group remain solid, supported by a well-filled order book for LEAP engines and sustained growth prospects in after-sales service activities, which represent the most profitable part of the business. With a beta of -0.11, Safran displays a defensive profile within the aerospace sector, which partly explains its resilience in a sometimes volatile market context.



Sector Défense · Aéronautique · Industrie Aérospatiale


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 2025
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 31 189 M€
  • Revenue growth: 12,5 %
  • EBITDA: 6 318 M€
  • EBITDA margin: 20,3 %
  • Net income: 3 174 M€
  • Free cash flow: 3 921 M€
  • Dividend per share: 3,35 €
  • Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
  • "2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
  • Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
  • Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
  • Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
  • Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
  • Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
  • Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
  • Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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