Société Générale Share: One of the Strongest Gainers on the CAC 40, Following an Analyst Upgrade
The La Défense bank rebounds sharply mid-morning in a rising Paris index. This recovery comes after several weeks of decline and while French yields remain under pressure. A new analyst opinion was released the previous day.
A rebound that places the bank among the strongest gainers on the CAC 40
The Société Générale share gains 3.17% to €68.08, while the CAC 40 advances 0.75%. It ranks among the index's strongest gainers, contrasting with its decline in recent weeks: the security has lost 3.58% over seven days and 7.11% over one month, dividend reinvested. Today's rebound therefore leaves the bulk of the decline intact, particularly as the price remains below its 20-day moving average (€70.82), with a gap of 3.87%.
The RSI at 32 reflects the extent of this selling phase, which today's session merely moderates. The security has been trading ex-dividend since October 5 following the detachment of a dividend of €0.75. Payment of this dividend is scheduled for tomorrow, October 7.
Alphavalue Lowers Target to €76.30 While Upgrading Rating to Accumulate
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In a mixed development, Alphavalue revised its opinion yesterday: the brokerage reduced its price target from €77.80 to €76.30, but upgraded from "reduce" to "accumulate". The new target offers approximately 12% upside potential relative to the current price. On fundamentals, the bank published half-year results on July 30 with net income attributable to the Group reaching a record €3.5 billion, up 13.9%, with a ROTE of 12.0%.
It also announced an exceptional share buyback of €1.5 billion and a dividend increase of 23%. On valuation, the share trades at approximately 8.5 times expected earnings for the current fiscal year, according to the consensus of surveyed analysts.
« Revenus du Groupe de 21,4 Md EUR sur 9M-26, en hausse de +4,1% vs. 9M-25, en bonne voie pour dépasser la cible 2026 >+2% » ; « ROTE de 12,3% sur 9M-26, en bonne voie pour dépasser la cible 2026 à ~11% » ; « Coût du risque de 27 pb sur 9M-26, dans la fourchette cible de 25 à 30 pb pour 2026 »
Risks mentioned
Perspectives négatives de Moody's sur la notation long terme (dette senior préférée) « A1 »
Baisse du résultat des ventes de voitures d'occasion (-12,2% revenus Ayvens vs T3-25)
Baisse des revenus Taux Crédit et Change (-20,6% vs T3-25) sous l'effet d'une baisse d'activité sur les taux
Opportunities identified
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Forte dynamique des Actions +45,9% au T3-26 atteignant un record de plus de 1,2 Md€
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