Stellantis shares opened down 1.72% this Thursday, January 8, settling at 9.12 euros compared to 9.28 euros the day before. This new correction occurs in very contained volumes with only 0.02% of the capital exchanged, indicating a marked wait-and-see attitude from investors at the start of the year. Over seven days, the decline now reaches 2.98%, while the quarterly decline is 3.31%. The annual balance remains heavily penalized with a drop of 28.63%, illustrating the ongoing difficulties of the Franco-Italian-American manufacturer. The price is now very close to its 50-day moving average positioned at 9.34 euros, a level that constitutes an immediate technical resistance. More worryingly, the relative strength index plunges to 24, in a marked oversold zone, signaling a short-term technical exhaustion.
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The stock is now trading between its major support at 8.75 euros and its resistance at 10.41 euros, within a narrow technical corridor. The MACD shows signs of weakness with a line at 0.01 below the signal at 0.09 and a negative histogram at minus 0.08, confirming a loss of bullish momentum. However, the configuration of moving averages still indicates a medium-term structural recovery, with the price trading above the 200-day moving average located at 8.71 euros. This divergence between negative short-term signals and a positive underlying trend illustrates the indecision prevailing over the stock. The monthly volatility of 6.71 and a particularly low beta of 0.14 reflect a relative disconnection of the stock from the market, in a context of profound industrial transformation.
The opinions of analysis offices remain deeply divided, reflecting uncertainties surrounding the group's recovery capacity. Exane BNP Paribas downgraded its recommendation from neutral to underperform on December 11, a clearly negative stance that continues to weigh on market sentiment. Conversely, Intesa Sanpaolo upgraded its advice to buy on December 5 with a target of 12 euros, representing a potential upside of 32% compared to the opening price this Thursday, while UBS adopted a buy recommendation with the same target on December 3. RBC Capital maintains a market performance recommendation but lowered its target from 9 euros to 8 euros on November 28. This divergence is explained by the anticipation of the new strategic plan from CEO Antonio Filosa, to be unveiled in the first half of 2026, which will clarify the future of the group's 14 brands in a context of transition towards electrification and repositioning in the American market.
Nos résultats pour l’année 2025 reflètent le coût d’une surestimation du rythme de la transition énergétique et la nécessité d’entreprendre un « reset » pour replacer au cœur de notre activité la liberté de choix de nos clients.
Stellantis publie les résultats annuels 2025 avec un chiffre d’affaires net de 153,5 milliards d’euros et une perte nette de 22,3 milliards d’euros, principalement due à des charges exceptionnelles. Le deuxième semestre 2025 montre une reprise de la croissance et une amélioration du free cash flow industriel. Disponibilité de liquidités industrielles à 46 milliards d’euros; le dividende 2026 est suspendu et des obligations hybrides jusqu’à 5 milliards d’euros peuvent être émises. Perspectives 2026 affirmées avec une progression attendue du chiffre d’affaires net, de la marge AOI et du free cash flow industriel; accélération attendue entre H1 et H2 2026.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Prévision d’un chiffre d’affaires net en hausse de milieu à un chiffre pour 2026, avec une amélioration progressive entre le premier et le second semestre.
Expected EBITDA: Marge AOI à un chiffre dans la fourchette basse en 2026; amélioration de la génération du free cash-flow industriel attendue.
Expected net income: Perspectives 2026 axées sur une amélioration progressive du chiffre d’affaires, de la marge AOI et du free cash-flow industriel.
Management commentary: La société réaffirme ses perspectives pour 2026 et prévoit des améliorations progressives entre H1 et H2 2026.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
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