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Last updated : 27/10/2026 - 17h35
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ASM: Third-Quarter Revenue Up 45%, 2027 Revenue Expected Above €5.7 Billion

The Dutch semiconductor deposition equipment manufacturer published on October 27, 2026 a quarterly revenue of 1,159 million euros, up 45% year-over-year, and forecasts 2027 revenue above 5.7 billion euros at constant exchange rates. Both figures exceed average analyst expectations, which anticipated 1.10 billion euros for the quarter and 5.43 billion euros for the following fiscal year. The announcement comes after the October 15, 2026 trading session, when the stock fell below the 750 euro threshold, amid a global correction in technology stocks. Management attributes its trajectory to artificial intelligence-driven demand, while noting that supply conditions are increasingly tight.


ASM: Third-Quarter Revenue Up 45%, 2027 Revenue Expected Above €5.7 Billion

Revenue of €1,159 Million and Adjusted Operating Margin of 33.4%

In the third quarter of 2026, revenue reached €1,159.4 million, compared with €800.0 million a year earlier and €1,003.1 million in the second quarter. Growth reached 45% on a reported basis and 44% at constant exchange rates, a level within the upper range announced by the group. According to ASM, advanced logic and foundry were the main driver, with a solid initial contribution from investments in the 1.4 nm node. Sales to the memory industry also advanced, notably in DRAM related to HBM, while mature logic and foundry, primarily driven by the Chinese market, remained robust. Gross margin remained stable at 52.0%, compared with 51.9% in the third quarter of 2025 and in the second quarter of 2026. Adjusted operating margin increased from 30.9% to 33.4% year-over-year, with adjusted operating income of €386.7 million versus €247.5 million, representing a 56% increase according to the chief executive officer. Adjusted net income rose by €109 million to €315.4 million. Under IFRS standards, net income came to €308.1 million, compared with €384.1 million in the third quarter of 2025 and €285.4 million in the previous quarter.

AI Demand Hampered by Tight Supply Chains

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"This performance reflects solid execution by our teams in a context of constrained supply chains," said Hichem M'Saad, ASM's chief executive officer. He emphasized that the deployment of AI infrastructure is generating significant capacity needs in the industry, particularly on the most advanced nodes, and that customers are seeking to rapidly increase their production. For the fourth quarter of 2026, the group anticipates revenue of €1,230 million, plus or minus 5%, at constant exchange rates, versus a consensus of €1.20 billion. ASM clarifies that it is working with its suppliers and customers to support the expected increase in deliveries under increasingly constrained supply conditions. For the full 2026 fiscal year, revenue should grow approximately 35% at constant exchange rates, and equipment revenue by more than 40%. The quarter was also marked by the launch of XP8 Vertos Flowable Carbon, presented as the first flowable carbon film technology in PECVD, already used in high-volume production.

Above €5.7 Billion Targeted for 2027 and New €300 Million Share Repurchase

For 2027, ASM forecasts revenue above 5.7 billion euros at constant exchange rates, compared with 3,173.2 million euros achieved in fiscal year 2025 (results published on March 18, 2026). This level corresponds to the revenue target set for 2030 at the 2025 investor day, which would thus be reached three years ahead of schedule. Advanced logic and foundry should remain the primary growth driver, supported by 2 nm and 1.4 nm. The group indicates that its addressable market at the 1.4 nm node shows double-digit growth compared with 2 nm, with higher market share. It also anticipates strong growth in memory, relative stability in mature logic and foundry absent significant regulatory changes, and strengthening recovery in power, analog and wafer segments. Regarding shareholder returns, the €150 million share repurchase program announced on March 3, 2026 was executed between August 10 and September 14, 2026: 185,522 shares were repurchased at an average price of €808.53. The board authorized a new program that could reach €300 million, with terms to be specified before its launch. The most structural element of the publication remains the forecast of revenue above 5.7 billion euros for 2027.



Sector Semi-conducteurs et matériel › Équipement & matériaux semi-conducteurs


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Context

Period
  • Period: T3 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 1 159 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 1 159 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 45 %
  • Net income: 308,1 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
  • « The demand environment remains very strong. […] For 2027, we project revenue to increase to more than €5.7 billion at constant currencies. This means we expect to achieve the revenue target set for 2030 at our 2025 Investor Day three years ahead of plan. »
Risks mentioned
  • Supply chain conditions are increasingly tight, with continued need to work closely with suppliers and customers to support planned ramp in shipments
  • Changes in regulatory environment could impact growth projections
  • Mature logic/foundry sales expected to remain relatively stable, potentially limiting growth in this segment
Opportunities identified
  • Advanced logic/foundry expected to be strongest growth driver in 2027, supported by further increases in 2nm-related sales and strong momentum in 1.4nm
  • Strong growth expected in memory, particularly HBM-related DRAM reflecting higher customer investment levels
  • Recovery in power/analog/wafer segments expected to strengthen further in 2027
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: 4 284 millions d'euros
  • Management commentary: « Based on our Q4 guidance, revenue for the full year 2026 is expected to increase by approximately 35% at constant currencies, with equipment revenue expected to grow by more than 40%. »

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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