AXA stock climbs nearly 5% over one week and targets its resistance at €45
The Paris-based insurer records a second consecutive session in positive territory, establishing itself solidly above its three moving averages in a well-oriented European market. The Federal Reserve's decision to raise rates by 25 basis points for the first time since 2023 did not dampen the share's progression, whose technical configuration has consolidated since the presentation of the strategic plan in mid-September.
AXA tests its resistance at €45.05 and relies on its three moving averages
AXA gains 1.67% to €44.95 during the session, bringing its weekly gain to nearly 5%. The share is trading above its MA20 at €43.62 (gap of 3.05%), its MA50 at €44.28 (gap of 1.51%) and its MA200 at €41.15 (gap of 9.23%) — a bullish alignment configuration across all three timeframes. The price is approaching its resistance at €45.05, less than 0.3% away, a threshold at which a valid breakout would be significant.
The RSI at 54 remains in neutral territory, far from any overbought signal, which leaves room for the current trend to continue. The VIX declined 11% during the session to 15.76, a sign of notable easing in risk aversion on markets, which benefits financial stocks as the CAC 40 rose 0.66%.
CIC Market Solutions' rating and recent fundamentals support valuation
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CIC Market Solutions maintained on September 15 a buy rating on the share, with a price target of €50, representing potential upside of over 11% from current levels. This target level reflects a solid fundamental backdrop: when publishing H1 2026 results on July 31, 2026, the group indicated it was "on track to achieve the objectives of the Unlock the Future plan". The 2027-2029 strategic plan, unveiled on September 15, aims for a total distribution rate maintained at 75% of operating earnings per share and approximately €25 billion in cumulative organic cash generation over the period. Additionally, life insurance inflows in France increased 12% year-on-year in June 2026, with unit-linked products representing 43% of the mix, a favorable sector context for a mixed life and property-casualty insurer. The resistance at €45.05 now constitutes the next level to monitor for the share's momentum.
we expect underlying earnings of circa. Euro 8.6 billion with underlying EPS growth at the top end of the target range
Risks mentioned
Softening market conditions in large commercial P&C
Natural catastrophe exposure with normalized Nat Cat load of 4.5 points of combined ratio
Interest rate sensitivity with -50bp interest rates shock expected to result in -1pt impact in Solvency II ratio
Opportunities identified
Growth in Life & Savings segment driven by ageing populations and pressure on existing systems
Expansion in direct distribution channel with rising demand for affordable insurance and digital experiences
Deployment of AI across value chain with expected annual recurring benefits of €500-700m (pre-tax) by 2029
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: 500 millions d'euros
Expected net income: 8 600 millions d'euros
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.