Hermès Shares Drop 2%, Weighed Down by the Downturn in Parisian Luxury
The saddler from Faubourg Saint-Honoré gives back some of the gains accumulated in recent weeks, in a clearly downward-oriented Parisian luxury sector. The decline is part of a general downturn in the CAC 40, while Hermès remains penalized over the year despite recent recovery.
The Stock Drops 2.16% and Slips to the Bottom of the CAC 40 with Luxury
Hermès shares lose 2.16% at €1,725.00 during the session, ranking among the steepest declines in the CAC 40 as the index itself falls by 0.44%. The movement occurs in unison with its sector peers: L'Oréal drops 2.74%, Kering 2.66%, and Christian Dior 2.18%, while LVMH retreats more modestly (-0.46%). Thus, the Parisian luxury sector gives back some of the rebound observed in recent days, while the last two sessions had seen the stock regain ground. The sector backdrop remains fragile: according to NBS data, jewelry and gold sales in China have fallen by 21.3% year-over-year in April, a point often cited as indicative of the ongoing caution of Chinese consumers towards luxury.
A Decline that Brings the RSI to 65 After Climbing More Than 9% in a Month
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Despite the day's drop, the stock maintains a comfortable margin above its short-term moving averages: the price remains above the MM20 (€1,647.85, gap +4.68%) and the MM50 (€1,649.38, gap +4.58%), reflecting the strength of the rebound that began in mid-May. However, the stock remains below its MM200 (€1,956.49, gap -11.83%), illustrating the medium-term downward trend: the performance is -24.38% over one year, despite +9.18% over one month. An RSI at 65 indicates a still buying dynamic, without crossing into the overbought zone. Based on expected earnings, according to the consensus of surveyed analysts, the stock is trading at about 38.8 times the profits for the current fiscal year and 33.6 times those of the next, a level that recalls the traditional valuation premium accorded to the house. The threshold of €1,763, a recent high point, serves as a reference for the continuation of the movement.
Le modèle Hermès, fondé sur une distribution exclusive et qualitative, a une nouvelle fois porté ses fruits. Hermès aborde l’année 2026 avec confiance.
Résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d’affaires de 16 002 millions d’euros, croissance à taux constants de 8,9 % et croissance à taux courants de 5,5 %. Résultat opérationnel courant de 6 569 millions d’euros (41,0 % du chiffre d’affaires) et résultat net de 4 524 millions d’euros. Cash flow disponible ajusté de 3 880 millions d’euros; trésorerie nette retraitée à 12 773 millions d’euros. Propositions de dividendes et actions nouvelles pour 2026, avec un accent sur le développement et l’emploi.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d’affaires 2026 est attendu en progression à taux constants sans chiffre précis communiqué.
Expected EBITDA: Non précisé dans le communiqué.
Expected net income: Non précisé dans le communiqué.
Management commentary: Perspectives positives pour 2026, grâce au modèle d’entreprise intégré et à la fidélité de la clientèle, malgré un contexte économique et géopolitique incertain.
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