Pernod Ricard Stock: Sharp Decline of Nearly 4% Amidst Downgrade by Deutsche Bank
Pernod Ricard's stock experienced a significant drop this Wednesday morning, falling nearly 4% to around 80.92 euros. This decline follows two days after Deutsche Bank downgraded its recommendation on the spirits group. Over the past year, the stock has now declined by more than 18%.
The selling pressure on Pernod Ricard is partly due to a recent revision by Deutsche Bank. The German institution downgraded its recommendation from 'hold' to 'sell', while also lowering its price target from 75 to 74 euros. This new target price is approximately 8.5% below the current stock price, suggesting significant additional downside potential according to the analyst. This view contrasts with the stock's rebound trajectory over the last three months, during which it had regained about 3.2%. The next milestone that could provide new fundamental benchmarks is the publication of the third-quarter revenue for the fiscal year 2025-2026, scheduled for April 16.
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From a technical standpoint, today's session brought Pernod Ricard's share price down to 80.92 euros, significantly below its 200-day moving average of 86.09 euros. This indicator, often used to assess the long-term trend of a stock, confirms that the momentum remains downward over an extended horizon. In the shorter term, however, the price remains above its 50-day moving average (77.12 euros), indicating a consolidation movement between these two benchmarks. The main resistance threshold is positioned at 86.84 euros, very close to the 200-day moving average, reinforcing the relevance of this area as a major technical barrier. The RSI, currently at 67, indicates that the stock is not yet in an overbought zone despite the rebound in recent weeks, but today's decline could initiate a relaxation of this oscillator. The volatility measured over a month, at 10.65%, remains moderate, suggesting contained fluctuation amplitudes in the short term.
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Context
Period
Period: T1 2027
Key reported figures
Revenue: 2 234 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 2 234 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: -6,3 %
Guidance from the release
contrasted and uncertain environment
Risks mentioned
US market impacted by inventory adjustments and -10% sales decline
China sales contracted -25% due to challenging macroeconomic environment
Global environment remains volatile with ongoing conflicts in Europe and Middle East
Opportunities identified
Underlying depletions in China returned to growth ahead of Mid-Autumn Festival
Strong growth in Asia-Rest of World region with India at +19%
Operational Efficiency initiatives with €1bn savings planned from FY26 to FY28
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.