Safran's Stock Soars Nearly 20% in One Month, Approaching €360
The aerospace engine manufacturer continues its ascent as the Paris Stock Exchange nears closing. The stock is in a sustained upward trend and benefits from a target adjustment by a major British broker.
Barclays Raises Price Target to €370 and Reaffirms Overweight Rating
Safran's stock is up 2.17% at €357.50 during the session, while the CAC 40 is up 0.44% at 8,512 points. Barclays has raised its price target from €330 to €370, while reaffirming its Overweight rating on the aerospace engine manufacturer. The new target offers a potential upside of about 3.5% from the current price, indicating that the stock has already approached the expectations of the research firm after its recent performance. According to the consensus of analysts surveyed, the stock is trading at about 35.4 times the expected earnings for the current fiscal year and 29.1 times those for the next fiscal year. The valuation reflects the growth trajectory of the group, whose CEO Olivier Andriès detailed in early June the ramp-up of the AASM Hammer, with production targeted around 1,400 units in 2026 compared to 200 in 2022.
An RSI of 74 Signals an Overbought Condition After a 19% Gain in One Month
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The momentum remains strong: Safran has shown a nearly 19% increase over one month and 21.6% over three months, bringing the annual gain to 33.4%. The price is significantly above its 20-day moving average of €323.65 (a gap of +10.5%) and its 50-day moving average of €300.22 (a gap of +19.1%), a configuration that reflects the intensity of the movement initiated since mid-May. An RSI of 74, however, places the stock in an overbought zone, a configuration signal to monitor after several weeks of almost uninterrupted rise. The next psychological marker is set at the round threshold of €360, just under 1% above the current price.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
