Safran Shares Drop 2.86% to €275.10, Nearing Technical Support at €265.20
The aerospace engine manufacturer is struggling at midday during the session of May 15, 2026. The stock has fallen 2.86% to €275.10, with the CAC 40 down 1.34% at 7,974 points. The stock is approaching its technical support at €265.20, six days before the general meeting.
A Slide that Pushes the Stock Below its Three Key Moving Averages
Safran stock is among the biggest losers in the CAC 40 this Friday, in a heavily downward-oriented Parisian market. The stock is trading at €275.10, down 2.86% for the session, and is now down -6.68% for the week and -17.34% over three months. The price is moving below its three moving averages. The stock is positioned in the lower part of the Bollinger bands, at 36% of the band, with a lower boundary at €255.98. The support at €265.20 is approaching, having already been tested at the end of April following the first quarter 2026 results. The RSI at 48 remains neutral and does not indicate seller exhaustion. The session occurs in a context of persistent tensions on crude oil, with Brent at $109.11, a backdrop unfavorable to the aviation sector.
Berenberg Still Recommends Buying the Stock Before the General Meeting on May 21
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From the analysts' side, Berenberg had reaffirmed its buy recommendation on the engine manufacturer on May 12, with a target maintained at €355. Based on the current price of €275.10, the target offers a theoretical upside potential of about 29%. The valuation remains high compared to the sector. Based on the consensus of the nineteen analysts followed, the stock is trading at about 27.4 times the earnings of the current fiscal year and 22.5 times those of the next fiscal year, against an average of 17.9 times for the Industrials sector. The expected growth in earnings per share from one year to the next is 22.2%. The next key event is the 2026 general meeting, scheduled for May 21. The results for the first half of 2026 are expected on July 28.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
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