SES Drops 5% at Close After a Harsh Week Following Q3 Results
The stock of European satellite operator SES fell by 5.03% on Tuesday, November 11, closing at 5.005 euros compared to 5.27 euros the previous day. This decline is part of a sharp correction that began on November 6, with the stock losing over a quarter of its value in seven days, marking a drop of 25.58%. The traded share capital remains modest at 0.23%, in a Parisian market that nevertheless grew by 1.25% during a session slowed down by the holiday.
Significant Correction for SES Since Q3 2025 Results Announcement
SES shares have undergone a significant correction since the announcement of its third-quarter 2025 results last Thursday, which are the first accounts to include contributions from Intelsat. Although the group has raised its annual revenue forecast to between 2.6 and 2.7 billion euros, operational margins have disappointed analysts. The costs of integrating the acquisition completed in July for 3.1 billion dollars are weighing on short-term profitability, and the synergies announced are materializing slower than the market anticipated. Over three months, SES now shows a decline of 17.55%, contrasting with a still favorable annual performance of 47.55%, significantly outperforming the CAC 40 over the same period.
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The volatility of the stock has significantly increased, with a volatility index measured at 21.61% over a month, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the digestion of the Intelsat operation. The price is now above the support level identified at 5.14 euros, tested this week, but remains under pressure facing a technical resistance located at 7.06 euros, now distant. The RSI is at 32, approaching the oversold zone without reaching it, suggesting that the downward movement could continue in the short term if no positive catalyst emerges. The 50-day moving average, at 6.28 euros, is now a distant reference from the current price, indicating a weakened trend.
Negative Dynamics Confirmed by MACD Indicator
The MACD indicator, with a main line at -0.21 and a signal at -0.03, remains in negative territory and confirms an unfavorable momentum. The MACD histogram, at -0.18, shows a divergence that does not allow for anticipating an immediate reversal. Investors are questioning SES's ability to quickly realize the 370 million euros of annual synergies expected from the merger, of which 70% were to be achieved within three years following the closure. In a context of increased competition against LEO constellations like Starlink, the group must reassure on the execution of its integration plan to regain market confidence.
SectorTélécommunications›Équipements de Télécommunications
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Contexte
Period
Period: 3T/9M 2025
Guidance from the release
I am pleased to report our solid 9 months 2025 results which include the first quarter for the combined company following the successful close of the Intelsat acquisition on 17 July 2025.
Croissance tirée par le segment Networks (Aviation, Government), intégration d'Intelsat en bonne voie, carnet de commandes brut de €7,1 billion, lancements O3b mPOWER 9 & 10 réussis et règlement d'assurance partiel d'environ $87 million.
Risks mentioned
Risque de ne pas atteindre les synergies attendues de l’acquisition d’Intelsat
Retards ou échecs de lancements ou problèmes opérationnels des satellites
Risques réglementaires et obtention d’approbations
Pressions concurrentielles et évolution technologique réduisant la demande
Opportunities identified
Positionnement multi-orbit renforcé pour capter la croissance longue durée
Expansion du business Aviation (plus de 3,000 tails; 200 nouveaux tails gagnés depuis clôture)
Augmentation de capacité et résilience avec les satellites O3b mPOWER supplémentaires
Carnet de commandes et renouvellements importants (nouveau business et renewals > €1,4 billion YTD)
Les informations présentées dans cet article sont fournies à titre purement indicatif et ne constituent en aucun cas une recommandation d'investissement, une incitation à acheter ou vendre un actif financier, ni un conseil en placement. Le lecteur est invité à réaliser ses propres recherches avant toute décision.
Les investissements en bourse comportent des risques, notamment de perte en capital. La performance passée d'un actif ou d'un marché ne présage en rien de ses performances futures. Toute décision d'investissement doit être prise en tenant compte de votre situation financière personnelle, de vos objectifs et de votre tolérance au risque.