Forvia stock among the strongest declines in the SBF 120 following a Jefferies note
The automotive equipment supplier is declining mid-morning, ranking among the poorest performers on the broad Paris index while the rest of the market evolves in relative calm. The session follows a price target revision published this Wednesday by Jefferies, which maintains its positive view on the stock but revises its expectations downward.
Jefferies lowers its target from €14.05 to €11.35 while maintaining its buy rating
Jefferies published this Wednesday a revision of its view on Forvia stock, lowering its price target from €14.05 to €11.35. The bank nevertheless maintains a buy opinion, which suggests a theoretical upside potential of approximately 24% compared to the current price of €9.13. This revision illustrates the downward pressure that analysts continue to exert on their estimates for the equipment manufacturer, in an automotive sector struggling to recover stable momentum.
Over one year, Forvia shows a decline of 22.61%, and the stock has never really managed to escape its underlying downtrend despite several rebound attempts since summer. The share buyback program, which totaled €26 million over twelve months according to the latest declarations dated September 14, 2026, has not been sufficient to halt this erosion.
Technical positioning under pressure, with a still elevated cumulative short position
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The stock is down 1.59% in the session at €9.13, clearly trading below its 20-day moving average (€9.31, gap of -1.91%) and near its 50-day moving average (€9.15, gap of -0.20%). The resistance at €9.93 remains far above, while the support at €8.60 constitutes the nearest floor in case of continued decline. With an RSI at 50, the configuration remains neutral, with no oversold signal or marked selling exhaustion at this stage. The MACD displays a slightly negative histogram (-0.03), consistent with momentum lacking bullish conviction.
In parallel, according to reviewed declarations, four funds cumulatively hold 3.95% of capital positioned to the downside, a level nearly stable over thirty days (-0.01 point). This figure, elevated compared to market average, reflects persistent mistrust from a segment of institutional investors toward the stock, without being able to deduce an acceleration of the downward movement. The next technical inflection will depend on the price's ability to maintain contact with the 50-day moving average in the coming sessions.
SectorAutomobile et mobilité›Équipementiers automobiles
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Context
Period
Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 10 509 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 10 509 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: -4,3 %
EBITDA: 1 439 millions d'euros
EBITDA margin: 13,7 %
Net income: 2,6 millions d'euros
Free cash flow: 432 millions d'euros
5 642 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
nous confirme avec confiance l'ensemble de ses objectifs pour l'exercice 2026
Risks mentioned
Sous-performance en Chine : ventes en recul de 19,3 % sur un mix clients défavorable (baisse de production BYD).
Production automobile mondiale attendue en baisse de 3,2 % au second semestre 2026.
Rentabilité de Lighting au point bas (marge 0,3 %), retour aux niveaux de 2025 seulement d'ici 2028.
Opportunities identified
Prises de commandes en hausse de 15 % à 13,4 Md€, ratio commandes/CA de 1,5x dans le pôle Growth.
Cession d'Interiors : réduction de la dette nette d'au moins 1,0 Md€ attendue au T4 2026.
Développement d'activités défense : commande initiale d'environ 500 drones intercepteurs.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 20 500 millions d'euros
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.