Michelin Stock Benefits from Brent Easing and Moves Above Its Averages
The Clermont-based manufacturer is among the well-oriented values of the Parisian stock exchange at midday. The stock benefits from the easing of the barrel and marks a technical rebound as it had been under pressure for three months. The workforce adaptation project announced the day before remains in the background of the session.
The Stock Rebounds by 2% to €31.64 in a Favorably Oriented CAC 40
Michelin's stock gains 2.06% to €31.64 at midday, among the strongest rises in the CAC 40, which is up by 1.01%. The movement follows the easing of Brent, which falls by 2% to $91.84 a barrel after the release of a memorandum of understanding between American and Iranian negotiators. As fuel directly impacts logistics costs and the demand for replacement tires, the tire manufacturer traditionally benefits from a prolonged decline in the barrel. However, the stock remains down by 8.02% over three months and has lost 6.61% over a year, reflecting a turbulent stock market journey since the start of the year. Moreover, the group also confirmed on Thursday a workforce adaptation project in France aiming for up to 1,500 job cuts over three years, based solely on voluntary departures, in response to production costs deemed too high.
The Rebound Places the Stock Above Its Three Key Moving Averages
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At €31.64, the stock moves above its MM20 (€31.35), MM50 (€30.74), and MM200 (€30.28), with respective gaps of 0.93%, 2.93%, and 4.49%. This configuration places the tire manufacturer in a more favorable technical dynamic after several weeks of oscillating around these thresholds. The RSI at 48 remains in a neutral zone, without any excess signal, while the resistance identified at €32.42 (already tested on May 6 at €32.46 before a decline) remains the next upper limit of the chart. The technical support is, for the record, at €30.23, slightly below the MM200. The holding of the €32.42 zone remains the threshold to watch in the coming sessions.
Les équipes de Michelin peuvent être fières de leurs performances sur ce premier semestre : notre Groupe enregistre une nette amélioration de la dynamique des ventes.
Le chiffre d'affaires semestriel atteint 12,7 milliards d'euros, en repli de 2,6 % en publié mais en hausse de 0,5 % à taux de change constants, l'effet devise pesant pour -3,1 %. Le résultat opérationnel des secteurs s'élève à 1,45 milliard d'euros (marge de 11,4 % contre 11,1 % au premier semestre 2025), en progression de 103 M€ (+7 %) à périmètre et parités constants. Le cash-flow libre avant M&A ressort à +282 M€ contre -102 M€ un an plus tôt. Par segment : Consommateur 6 926 M€ (marge 12,5 %), Transport 2 813 M€ (marge 5,9 %), Spécialités 2 220 M€ (marge 14,1 %), Polymer Composite Solutions 728 M€ (+14 %, marge 13,6 %). Le ratio d'endettement net s'établit à 26 %.
Risks mentioned
Effet de change particulièrement défavorable, pesant pour -3,1 % sur le chiffre d'affaires
Marchés Première monte encore déprimés, notamment aux Amériques pour le Transport
Marché de la première monte Agricole au plus bas depuis 10 ans
Hausse des coûts industriels et logistiques liée à l'inflation et aux droits de douane
Opportunities identified
Succès des nouvelles gammes MICHELIN Primacy 5 Energy et Pilot Sport 5 Energy
Volumes de la marque MICHELIN en hausse de 5 % au Remplacement
Trois acquisitions structurantes finalisées en Polymer Composite Solutions
Croissance du Mining, de l'Avion et des activités Deux-roues
Transformation du portefeuille vers des marchés moins cycliques et à forte valeur ajoutée
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