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Safran Shares Climb 5% and Break Key Resistance at €305.70

The aeronautical engine manufacturer starts this Friday's session with a strong performance, in a notably bullish CAC 40. The stock continues the rebound momentum observed since the beginning of the week and tackles a technical barrier closely watched over several sessions.


Safran Shares Climb 5% and Break Key Resistance at €305.70

Strong Opening and Technical Breakthrough

Safran gains 5.05% to €310.20 at the opening, up from €295.30 at the previous close. This rise positions the stock among the top performers in the CAC 40, which itself is up by 1.57%. The movement is part of a broader sectoral momentum, with European cyclical stocks (Stellantis, Kering, Renault) driving the index this morning. The breakthrough of the resistance at €305.70, which had been tested several times in recent weeks without being breached, marks a technical milestone. The price also moves back above its 200-day moving average at €300.09 (a gain of +2.27%), while staying above its 20-day moving average at €291.78 (+5.18%). The RSI at 53 remains in the neutral zone, indicating that the movement does not yet reflect an overheated configuration.

Increased Industrial Pace and Favorable Aeronautical Context Amid Middle East Tensions

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Fundamentally, the group confirmed in early June a significant ramp-up in its AASM Hammer air-to-ground weapon production, as detailed in an industrial update published on June 9: production is expected to increase from about 200 units in 2022 to nearly 1,400 by 2026, with a target capacity that could reach 2,000 units per year. This industrial visibility is set against a backdrop of a also supported civil aeronautical context, while the recent surge in Brent crude (back to around $88 after peaking above $92) had weighed on the sector at the start of the week. The noticeable easing this morning on the barrel, amid talks of a possible peace agreement in the Middle East, mechanically relieves pressure on airline customers of engine manufacturers. Over one year, the stock now shows a gain of 18.08%. The next technical threshold is now above the €305.70 crossed this morning, a level that will need to be confirmed at the close.



Sector Défense · Aéronautique / spatiale · Industrie Aérospatiale


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Context

Period
  • Period: 2025
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 31 189 M€
  • Revenue growth: 12,5 %
  • EBITDA: 6 318 M€
  • EBITDA margin: 20,3 %
  • Net income: 3 174 M€
  • Free cash flow: 3 921 M€
  • Dividend per share: 3,35 €
  • Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
  • "2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
  • Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
  • Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
  • Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
  • Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
  • Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
  • Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
  • Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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