Ubisoft Entertain Stock Rises 2% Aiming for its 50-Day Moving Average
The French video game publisher is seeing a rebound in early afternoon trading in a Paris market that is significantly on the rise. The stock is attempting to reconnect with its 50-day moving average after several sessions of decline, while selling pressure remains a significant underlying issue for the stock.
A Technical Rebound Brings the Stock Back to its 50-Day MA at €4.88
Ubisoft Entertain stock is up 1.99% at €4.87 in early afternoon trading, in an SBF 120 that is up 1.78% and a CAC 40 that has risen by 1.83%. The stock is returning to its 50-day moving average at €4.88, which had acted as a ceiling in recent sessions. Above this, the 20-day MA at €5.18 remains out of immediate reach, with the price being 6% below this benchmark. The 200-day MA at €6.09 confirms a still deteriorating long-term trend, with the stock down nearly 50% over the year. The RSI at 42 remains neutral, showing no signs of seller exhaustion. Today's rebound mitigates the weekly decline of 5.3% but does not erase it.
A Receding Short-Selling Pressure by 1.5 Points Over a Month
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According to reviewed statements, eleven funds hold a net short position of 13.74% of the capital, down by 1.45 points over thirty days (15.19% a month ago). The level remains high and reflects a structural bearish bet by institutional investors on the stock, although the trend is towards lightening, indicating a start of covering without massive capitulation. This financial backdrop follows the annual results for 2025-2026 (published on May 20th) which reported a significant non-IFRS operating loss of €1,044.7 million and a decline in net bookings by 17.4%. During this announcement, the group mentioned a stronger content pipeline expected for the fiscal years 2027-28 and 2028-29, and a reduction of net debt to €187.3 million. The stock fluctuates between its support at €4.68 and its 50-day MA at €4.88, the successful long-term reconquest of which will determine the continuation of the movement.
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« Nous avons enregistré au premier trimestre un net bookings légèrement supérieur à notre objectif. »
Le chiffre d'affaires IFRS 15 du premier trimestre 2026-27 recule de 13,7 % à 268,2 M€ et le net bookings de 9,2 % à 255,8 M€, légèrement au-dessus de l'objectif d'environ 250,0 M€, la baisse reflétant une base de comparaison élevée liée à Assassin's Creed Shadows. Le net bookings back-catalogue s'établit à 221,0 M€ (-15,1 %) et le net bookings digital à 206,2 M€ (-17,6 %), tandis que le PRI est quasi stable à 151,3 M€. Invincible: Guarding the Globe signe un trimestre record. Le début du T2 est marqué par le lancement réussi d'Assassin's Creed Black Flag Resynced (3,5 millions d'exemplaires en sell-in, note de 84). La transformation se poursuit avec la fermeture de studios et la nomination de Christoph Hartmann à la tête de la Creative House 2.
Risks mentioned
Net bookings attendu en baisse d'un pourcentage à un chiffre élevé sur l'exercice 2026-27
Marge opérationnelle non-IFRS attendue négative sur l'exercice 2026-27
Consommation de free cash-flow pouvant atteindre 500 M€ sur l'exercice
Échéances de dette à refinancer : revue en cours des options de financement
Opportunities identified
Assassin's Creed Black Flag Resynced dépasse les attentes annuelles en 14 jours (3,5 M d'unités)
Sortie de Rayman Legends Retold le 1er octobre 2026 et de Just Dance Decades of Hits le 13 octobre
Performance record d'Invincible: Guarding the Globe sur le segment Mobile
Pipeline de contenus nettement plus solide en 2027-28 et 2028-29 (Assassin's Creed, Far Cry, Ghost Recon)
Retour attendu à un EBIT non-IFRS positif et à une génération de free cash-flow dès 2027-28
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
