Valeo Shares Decline by 3% and Fall Below Their 20-Day Moving Average
The automotive equipment manufacturer significantly drops in mid-morning trading, in a Paris market weighed down by a return of risk aversion. The decline follows the announcement of a strategic agreement with Nissan on bidirectional charging, yet fails to prevent the stock from losing ground and falling below a closely watched technical threshold.
The Stock Falls Below its MA20 and Corrects After a 38% Rally Over Three Months
Valeo's stock drops by 2.97% to €13.55 in mid-morning trading, within a CAC 40 down by 1.09% and an SBF 120 down by 1.10%. The stock has fallen below its 20-day moving average (€14.24), which it was still above at the beginning of last week, and now shows a nearly 5% gap from this short-term benchmark. However, the underlying momentum remains strong, with the price still 7.5% above the MA50 and nearly 16% above the MA200, reflecting the 38% rally accumulated over three months.
The RSI at 52 indicates the exhaustion of the bullish sequence without a clear reversal signal, with today's decline mitigating part of the monthly gain (+7.2%). The technical support is identified at €11.87, about 12% below the current price. The movement coincides with a spike in global volatility, with the VIX jumping nearly 22% to 20.42, amid a toughening stance from major central banks.
Short Positions Significantly Reduced Over 30 Days Yet Still High at 8.8% of Capital
According to reviewed declarations, six funds accumulate a net short position of 8.84% of the capital as of June 19, a level that remains high in absolute terms despite a significant decrease of nearly 7 points in a month (15.83% thirty days ago). This reduction reflects partial buybacks of short positions during the spring rebound phase, and indicates that several institutional players have begun to lighten their bearish bets. However, the residual accumulation of nearly 9% of the float remains an indicator to watch, though not solely indicative of massive distrust.
The consensus of surveyed analysts values the stock at around 8.3 times the expected earnings for the current fiscal year and 6.2 times those of 2027, a modest multiple that still reflects the market's caution about the profit trajectory of the equipment manufacturer. On the financing side, the bond issuance of 600 million euros maturing in February 2033, launched on May 27, has secured the refinancing of part of the group's debt. The next technical resistance is located at €16.64, about 23% above the current price.