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Valneva Shares Drop 5.65% at Midday, RSI Reaches Overbought Territory

The Franco-Austrian biotech company experiences a significant decline at mid-session on Monday, January 19, after several weeks of strong gains. The stock is trading at 4.14 euros around noon, down 5.65% from the previous day. This movement comes as the stock had doubled its value over the year, driven by clinical developments of its chikungunya vaccine.


Valneva Shares Drop 5.65% at Midday, RSI Reaches Overbought Territory

Significant Midday Drop for VALNEVA

The VALNEVA stock shows a notable decline at midday this Monday, slipping to 4.14 euros after having closed at 4.39 euros on Friday. This 5.65% correction occurs in a context of high volatility, with only 0.36% of the capital traded since the opening. However, the stock remains well above its reference moving averages, trading 7% above its 50-day average and 17.3% above its 200-day average. Over the past year, the stock has shown a spectacular performance of nearly 100%, boosted by the clinical advancements of the IXCHIQ vaccine against chikungunya and the full recovery of commercialization rights in endemic countries at the beginning of January, following the end of the agreement with the Serum Institute of India. This progress is part of a European biotechnological sector that has been regaining color for several weeks.

RSI Indicates Overbought Condition

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The Relative Strength Index stands at 79 points at midday, placing the stock in an overbought zone beyond the critical threshold of 70. This indicator suggests that the stock may undergo a technical consolidation phase after its recent surge, without indicating a trend reversal. The price still trades above the technical resistance threshold identified at 4.43 euros. On the analyst side, recommendations remain mixed: Stifel recently raised its price target from 9.50 to 10 euros at the beginning of January while maintaining its buy recommendation, whereas Goldman Sachs remains neutral with a target reduced to 3.25 euros at the end of November. Investors remain attentive to the results of the clinical trial on the Lyme disease vaccine, expected in the first half of 2026.



Sector Santé · Pharmacie Industrie Pharmaceutique


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Au troisième trimestre, nous avons continué à nous concentrer sur le renforcement de notre trésorerie, ce qui nous a permis de refinancer notre dette à des conditions financières plus avantageuses.
  • Chiffre d’affaires de 127,0 millions d’euros sur neuf mois (+8,9 %), ventes de 119,4 millions d’euros, trésorerie de 143,5 millions d’euros au 30/09/2025, perte nette 65,2 millions d’euros, EBITDA ajusté (37,7) millions d’euros. Guidance 2025 confirmée : chiffre d’affaires attendu entre 165 et 180 millions d’euros; ventes attendues entre 155 et 170 millions d'euros. Renforcement de la position financière via refinancement et ATMs; Phase 3 VALOR pour le vaccin Lyme en cours selon calendrier.
Risks mentioned
  • Suspension de la licence IXCHIQ ® aux États-Unis par la FDA (impact sur ventes segment voyageurs)
  • Risque de résultats cliniques défavorables pour les candidats (phase 3 VALOR pour Lyme, essais S4V2, VLA1601 incertitudes réglementaires)
  • Exposition aux fluctuations de change (impact négatif mentionné de 1,3 millions d’euros sur ventes, effets de change volontaires)
  • Dépendance à des partenaires de distribution et diminution des produits de tiers (arrêt de distribution de Rabipur/RabAvert et Encepur)
Opportunities identified
  • Résultats positifs potentiels de la Phase 3 VALOR (VLA15) pouvant mener à des demandes d'autorisation en 2026
  • Accord commercial avec CSL Seqirus en Allemagne pour stimuler la commercialisation des vaccins
  • Croissance des ventes d'IXCHIQ ® sur les marchés hors États-Unis et dans les PRFI (livraisons de substance active)
  • Potentiel du candidat S4V2 contre la shigellose (marché estimé > 500 millions de dollars/an)
  • Données positives de Phase 1 pour VLA1601 (Zika) et forte persistance d'anticorps pour IXCHIQ ® (95 % à 4 ans) comme avantage concurrentiel

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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