Rubis stock rebounds and attacks its resistance at €36.20
Rubis gains ground on Monday, driven by a rebound that contrasts with the decline recorded last Friday. The stock ranks among the strongest gainers in the SBF 120, in a Paris market broadly oriented upwards, while Brent loses ground amid diplomatic hopes surrounding the Iran-United States conflict.
A 2.24% rebound that brings the stock into direct contact with its resistance
Rubis is trading at €35.62 during the session, up 2.24% compared to Friday's last close (€34.84). The rebound wipes out most of Friday's decline and brings the stock within just a few cents of its resistance at €36.20, a level the stock has been unable to overcome sustainably for several weeks. Over one month, the stock is up 4.4%, and 7.1% over three months, which reflects a positive momentum initiated following the publication of first-half 2026 results on September 8.
On that day, the group had raised its EBITDA target for the full fiscal year, a revised guidance set at €800 million that had propelled the stock up 5% in a single session. Today's recovery occurs moreover while Brent declines to $100.83 per barrel (down 2.93% during the session), an easing that, in the immediate term, constitutes an ambiguous signal for an energy distributor whose volumes and margins are partially linked to petroleum price levels.
Moving averages clearly exceeded but an RSI that does not yet signal overheating
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The stock is trading above its three moving averages: it exceeds the 20-day MA (€34.43) by 3.46%, the 50-day MA (€33.61) by 5.98%, and the 200-day MA (€33.88) by 5.14%. This bullish configuration has been solid since the publication of half-year results, and the price has not fallen below these levels since. The RSI at 54 remains in neutral territory, far from an overbought signal, which leaves technical room before a potential exhaustion of the momentum.
The resistance at €36.20 now represents the immediate test: during Friday's decline, the stock had ceded this level after encountering resistance. A sustainable breakthrough of this threshold would open the way to levels unexplored for several months, while another failure would close the post-results bullish sequence on a recurring ceiling. Furthermore, upon the publication of first-half 2026 results (September 8, 2026), the group had indicated that the persistence of elevated petroleum prices was weighing on demand in the second half and that demand in Nigeria should be more moderate, two factors to monitor in upcoming activity releases.
Au niveau mondial, le Groupe anticipe que le maintien de prix du pétrole élevés pèsera sur la demande au second semestre
La demande au Nigéria devrait être plus modérée au second semestre
En Europe, la montée en puissance des activités bitume devrait continuer de soutenir une forte croissance des volumes, quoique à des marges plus faibles
Opportunities identified
Photosol a franchi une étape clé avec la mise en service complète du parc solaire de Creil
Les développements dans la production d'électricité renouvelable devraient s'accélérer au second semestre
En Afrique, la performance devrait continuer de bénéficier de l'amélioration des conditions de marché et de la croissance des volumes de bitume
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: 800 millions d'euros
Management commentary: l'EBITDA du Groupe est désormais attendu entre 775 M€ et 825 M€ en 2026, à taux de change EUR/USD constant (1,13) et en supposant un impact IAS 29 - hyperinflation inchangé par rapport à 2025.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
