Thales Stock Plummets Nearly 2% and Breaks Through Support at €219.40
The share of the defense electronics group continues its slide in early afternoon trading on the Paris stock exchange, amidst a generally declining CAC 40. The stock breaches a closely watched technical threshold, as the premium on defense stocks continues to erode with geopolitical easing in the Middle East.
The Stock Breaks the €219.40 Support and Dips Below Its Moving Averages
Thales stock drops 1.88% to €214.30, among the steepest declines in the CAC 40 as the Paris index falls by 0.80%. The stock has broken through the support at €219.40, which had been unsuccessfully tested in previous sessions, as previously approached at the start of the week. The technical setup has significantly worsened: the price is now 8.13% below its 20-day moving average (€231.73) and 12.51% below its 200-day average (€244.94), confirming a medium-term downturn.
The RSI at 43 does not yet signal overselling, theoretically leaving room for further decline. Over one week, the stock has lost nearly 8%, and almost 13% over three months.
Middle East Calm Erodes Risk Premium on Defense Stocks
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The session occurs in a context of geopolitical relaxation: Brent crude falls more than 4% to $73.74 a barrel, indicating that traders are eliminating the risk premium built up during the Iran-Israel conflict. This reduction mechanically weighs on European defense stocks, whose order expectations had benefited from regional tensions. Thales, however, remains engaged in a sustained industrial dynamic over the long term, following the mid-June order to Eurosam (a joint venture with MBDA) for the development of a multi-layer version of the SAMP/T NG, and the presentation at Eurosatory of a new military vehicle co-developed with Renault. In the short term, the break of the support at €219.40 paves the way for testing lower levels.
Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
-1 618 millions d'euros
Dividend per share: 3,90 €
Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.