Ubisoft Entertain Stock Jumps 2.5%, Outperforming a Declining CAC 40
The French video game publisher regains momentum in mid-morning trading, moving against the downward trend of the Paris market. The stock ranks among the top gainers in the broader index, while the pressure from short sellers remains a significant underlying issue for the stock.
Stock Moves Above its 20-day and 50-day Moving Averages
Ubisoft Entertain gains 2.31% to €5.32, while the CAC 40 drops 0.43% and the SBF 120 loses 0.37%. The rebound lifts the stock among the top gainers of the SBF 120 in mid-morning. The stock moves above its 20-day moving average (€5.15) and its 50-day moving average (€5.06), with respective gaps of 3.26% and 5.10% indicating a short-term momentum recovery. The 200-day moving average at €5.93 remains a distant target, with the price currently 10.32% below, reflecting the weight of a 43.4% decline over one year. The RSI at 57 remains neutral, without excess, while the MACD moves into slightly positive territory. Over three months, the dynamics are on a recovery path with a 40.2% gain, following the collapse after the January warning.
High Cumulative Short Interest Despite Slight Decrease
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According to reviewed statements, twelve funds accumulate 13.72% of the capital sold short on the stock, a level that remains among the highest on the Paris stock exchange. The overall position has eroded by 0.15 points over thirty days, indicating a very gradual decrease without significant covering movement. This level reflects persistent skepticism from some institutional investors, without prejudging their exact motivations or the timing of their bets. Fundamentally, the company had reported on May 20, 2026, during the announcement of the 2025/2026 annual results, a reduction in its net debt from €885 million to €187.3 million, and anticipated a strengthened content pipeline for the fiscal years 2027-28 and 2028-29. The stock has since recovered 40% in three months but remains heavily degraded over one year. Sustainably crossing the 200-day moving average at €5.93 would constitute the next significant technical test for the stock.
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« Nous avons enregistré au premier trimestre un net bookings légèrement supérieur à notre objectif. »
Le chiffre d'affaires IFRS 15 du premier trimestre 2026-27 recule de 13,7 % à 268,2 M€ et le net bookings de 9,2 % à 255,8 M€, légèrement au-dessus de l'objectif d'environ 250,0 M€, la baisse reflétant une base de comparaison élevée liée à Assassin's Creed Shadows. Le net bookings back-catalogue s'établit à 221,0 M€ (-15,1 %) et le net bookings digital à 206,2 M€ (-17,6 %), tandis que le PRI est quasi stable à 151,3 M€. Invincible: Guarding the Globe signe un trimestre record. Le début du T2 est marqué par le lancement réussi d'Assassin's Creed Black Flag Resynced (3,5 millions d'exemplaires en sell-in, note de 84). La transformation se poursuit avec la fermeture de studios et la nomination de Christoph Hartmann à la tête de la Creative House 2.
Risks mentioned
Net bookings attendu en baisse d'un pourcentage à un chiffre élevé sur l'exercice 2026-27
Marge opérationnelle non-IFRS attendue négative sur l'exercice 2026-27
Consommation de free cash-flow pouvant atteindre 500 M€ sur l'exercice
Échéances de dette à refinancer : revue en cours des options de financement
Opportunities identified
Assassin's Creed Black Flag Resynced dépasse les attentes annuelles en 14 jours (3,5 M d'unités)
Sortie de Rayman Legends Retold le 1er octobre 2026 et de Just Dance Decades of Hits le 13 octobre
Performance record d'Invincible: Guarding the Globe sur le segment Mobile
Pipeline de contenus nettement plus solide en 2027-28 et 2028-29 (Assassin's Creed, Far Cry, Ghost Recon)
Retour attendu à un EBIT non-IFRS positif et à une génération de free cash-flow dès 2027-28
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.