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Forvia share plunges to €9.23, bottom performer of SBF 120

The automotive equipment manufacturer posts the most significant decline on the Paris broad index this Tuesday, erasing part of the rebound accumulated over the past week. The session takes place in a context of analyst revisions published in recent hours, with price targets adjusted both upwards and downwards.


Forvia share plunges to €9.23, bottom performer of SBF 120

Bottom performer of SBF 120, Forvia loses ground against its resistance level

Forvia falls 3.67% to €9.23 during the session, ranking last among the 120 values of the SBF 120 at mid-day. The security is precisely hitting its resistance at €9.58, a level that corresponds almost exactly to yesterday's closing price (€9.58), and is falling below this ceiling. This decline narrows the gap between the price and the 20-day moving average (€8.99) to 2.69%, which nevertheless remains below the price and offers initial support.

In contrast, the 50-day moving average at €9.57 now exceeds the current price by 3.53%, confirming that the security has failed to establish itself there. The RSI at 56, in neutral territory, shows no technical excess in either direction. Today's decline contrasts with weekly performance, which remains positive at +6.02%, reflecting the rebound recorded prior to the publication of half-year results in late July.

Jefferies lowers target but maintains buy, selling pressure remains visible

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Two analyst opinions were published on Forvia in recent hours. Jefferies, on Tuesday August 4, maintains its buy opinion but significantly lowers its price target, from €17.00 to €14.05, representing an upside potential of over 52% relative to the current price. Deutsche Bank, meanwhile, revised its target upwards on Monday August 3, from €10.50 to €11.00, while maintaining a "hold" opinion.

These two positions reflect divergent views on the group's trajectory, while first-half 2026 results published on July 31 showed an improving operating margin at 6.0% and net cash flow up 18.8%, despite sales in China declining organically by 14.8% in Q2. Furthermore, according to recorded disclosures, five funds cumulatively hold 4.64% of the capital sold short, up 0.68 percentage points over thirty days. This level, above the symbolic 4% threshold, reflects persistent institutional downward pressure, although the acceleration remains moderate and does not allow for the conclusion of massive bearish conviction among market participants.



Sector Automobile et mobilité Équipementiers automobiles


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Context

Period
  • Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 10 509 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 10 509 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: -4,3 %
  • EBITDA: 1 439 millions d'euros
  • EBITDA margin: 13,7 %
  • Net income: 2,6 millions d'euros
  • Free cash flow: 432 millions d'euros
  • 5 642 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
  • nous confirme avec confiance l'ensemble de ses objectifs pour l'exercice 2026
Risks mentioned
  • Sous-performance en Chine : ventes en recul de 19,3 % sur un mix clients défavorable (baisse de production BYD).
  • Production automobile mondiale attendue en baisse de 3,2 % au second semestre 2026.
  • Rentabilité de Lighting au point bas (marge 0,3 %), retour aux niveaux de 2025 seulement d'ici 2028.
Opportunities identified
  • Prises de commandes en hausse de 15 % à 13,4 Md€, ratio commandes/CA de 1,5x dans le pôle Growth.
  • Cession d'Interiors : réduction de la dette nette d'au moins 1,0 Md€ attendue au T4 2026.
  • Développement d'activités défense : commande initiale d'environ 500 drones intercepteurs.
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: 20 500 millions d'euros

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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