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Orange Shares Drop 2.5% and Rank Last in the CAC 40

The telecom operator opens significantly in the red this Wednesday, trailing the CAC 40. The stock continues the consolidation movement that began after the multi-year high in mid-May and loses ground under a technical zone watched for several sessions.


Orange Shares Drop 2.5% and Rank Last in the CAC 40

Orange at the Bottom of the CAC 40, Below the Technical Support of €17.44

Orange shares drop 2.71% to €17.03 at the opening, marking the lowest point of the CAC 40 which remains almost stable. The movement extends from the previous session, during which the stock had already broken its support at €17.44 during the day, falling to €17.39, before closing above it. This morning, the break is confirmed. Over a week, the decline reaches 3.54%, and 6.53% over a month, while the annual performance remains solidly positive at over 33%.

The stock is now clearly below its short moving averages, the MM20 (€17.89) and the MM50 (€17.90) both about 4.8% above the current price. The MM200 at €15.71 remains just over 8% below the current level, which keeps the underlying trend intact. The RSI at 42 indicates the short-term momentum is waning without entering an oversold zone.

Restructuring of Hybrids and Busy Macroeconomic Calendar This Wednesday

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On the corporate front, the group announced on Monday its intention to launch a new strain of super-subordinated perpetual bonds, accompanied by a buyback offer for two existing hybrid strains. The operation aims to restructure the operator's portfolio of hybrid instruments, a topic already cited as a trigger for Tuesday's decline (hybrid bond issuance). The session also takes place in a busy macroeconomic environment: the FOMC concludes its meeting this Wednesday, the first chaired by Kevin Warsh, with a status quo on rates largely anticipated by the markets and a focus on the new 'dot plot'.

Meanwhile, the G7 summit in Évian continues, against the backdrop of the prospect of a gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Technically, attention is focused on the reconquest of the €17.44 threshold, now fallen back into resistance.



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Context

Period
  • Period: 1S2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 20.9MD€
  • EBITDA: 6.1MD€
  • Net income: 3.6MD€
  • Free cash flow: 1.9MD€
  • 35.7MD€
Guidance from the release
  • Ce semestre est un marqueur fort de l'exécution de notre plan stratégique Trust the future.
  • Orange affiche un premier semestre 2026 record avec un chiffre d'affaires de 20,9 milliards d'euros (+3,5 %) et un EBITDAaL de 6,1 milliards d'euros (+5,0 %), portés par l'Afrique et Moyen-Orient (+13,9 %), Europe 6 (+4,1 %) et la France (+1,2 %). Hors éléments non récurrents du wholesale en France au 1er trimestre, la croissance sous-jacente serait d'environ 3,0 % pour le chiffre d'affaires et 3,7 % pour l'EBITDAaL. Le cash-flow organique atteint 2,2 milliards d'euros (+497 millions d'euros) et le free cash-flow all-in 1,9 milliard d'euros (+774 millions d'euros). Le résultat net de 3,6 milliards d'euros intègre un gain de 2,4 milliards d'euros lié à la prise de contrôle exclusif de MasOrange ; le résultat net ajusté progresse de 11,8 % à plus de 1,35 milliard d'euros. L'endettement financier net s'élève à 35,7 milliards d'euros (ratio de 2,4x) après l'acquisition de MasOrange. Orange Business reste en recul (-3,1 %).
Risks mentioned
  • Orange Business en repli de -3,1 %, toujours pénalisé par un environnement de marché difficile
  • EBITDAaL d'Orange Business en baisse de -6,4 % sur le semestre
  • Endettement net porté à 35,7 milliards d'euros, ratio dette/EBITDAaL à 2,4x après MasOrange
  • Acquisition de SFR soumise aux autorisations réglementaires et de concurrence, sans certitude de réalisation
Opportunities identified
  • Contrôle exclusif à 100 % de MasOrange renforçant la position en Espagne
  • Projet d'acquisition conjointe de SFR pour environ 5,6 milliards d'euros de part Orange
  • Croissance à deux chiffres en Afrique et Moyen-Orient (+13,9 % de chiffre d'affaires)
  • Création d'une coentreprise datacenters avec Morrison, capacité cible de 400 MW
  • Relèvement des objectifs annuels : EBITDAaL >4 % et cash-flow organique d'environ 4,3 milliards d'euros

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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