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Last updated : 28/09/2026 - 13h51
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Société Générale stock among the strongest declines in the CAC 40, down 7.5% in three months

The bank based in La Défense disappoints at the start of this week, ranking among the most neglected values in the Paris index while its banking peers are also losing ground. The decline brings the stock below several of its moving averages, in a context where the Paris market remains nearly stable.


Société Générale stock among the strongest declines in the CAC 40, down 7.5% in three months

A decline of 1.6% that places the stock below its three moving averages

Société Générale falls 1.6% to €71.15 during trading, compared to a change of only +0.12% for the CAC 40 at the same time. The stock is thus among the strongest declines in the index, in a movement running counter to a globally stable market. The technical configuration remains constrained: the price is below the MA20 (€73.18, gap of -2.77%), the MA50 (€76.76, gap of -7.31%) and the MA200 (€72.03, gap of -1.22%), which places all moving averages above the current price. Only the support level at €69.87 offers an immediate downside reference point, approximately 1.8% below the current price.

The RSI at 45 remains neutral, without marked oversold signal for the moment, and the MACD shows a slightly positive histogram (0.10), suggesting a slowdown in selling pressure without confirmed reversal. Over the past month, performance is nearly flat (+0.17%), but the decline over three months reaches -7.33%, illustrating the accumulated pressure on the stock since summer. The €1.5 billion share buyback announced on August 10, 2026, executed at approximately 69% as of September 18, constitutes an underlying support element for the capital.

Solid half-year results but a rate environment that weighs on banks

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During the publication of H1 2026 on July 30, 2026, the bank had posted a record net profit attributable to the Group of €3.5 billion, up +13.9% year-on-year, with a ROTE of 12.0% and a target raised to approximately 11% for the full year. Risks had nevertheless been flagged: revenues from the corporate and institutional banking division had declined by -1.3% and cost of risk had increased by +6.6% to €745 million. Analysts' views remained divided at the end of last week, following mixed signals published Friday.

In terms of valuation, the consensus of analysts surveyed places the stock at approximately 9 times the current year's earnings and 7.8 times those of the following year, with expected earnings per share growth of +14.4% year-on-year. Furthermore, the 3-month Euribor is evolving at 2.51% (up 0.48 point over twelve months), a level that mechanically weighs on refinancing conditions while supporting net interest margins for well-positioned institutions. The next concrete milestone to note is the dividend detachment scheduled for October 5, 2026.



Sector Banque › Banque universelle / diversifiée


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Context

Period
  • Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 14 202 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 14 202 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 402 %
  • Net income: 3 487 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
  • Résultat net part du Groupe record au S1-26 de 3,5 Md EUR, en hausse de +13,9% vs. S1-25, ROTE de 12,0% au S1-26
Risks mentioned
  • Revenus de la Banque de Grande Clientèle en baisse de -1,3 % au S1-26 vs. S1-25
  • Activités Taux, Crédit et Change en retrait de -15,0 % sur le semestre
  • Coût du risque en hausse de +6,6 % à 745 millions d'euros au S1-26
Opportunities identified
  • Cible de ROTE 2026 rehaussée à environ 11 % grâce à l'effet de ciseaux positif
  • Acompte sur dividende en hausse de +23 % et rachat d'actions exceptionnel de 1,5 Md€
  • Notation relevée par Fitch à « A+ » et perspective S&P passée à « positive »
Outlook / guidance
  • Management commentary: croissance des revenus Groupe vs 2025

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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